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Political Discussions => United States => Topic started by: jpn of Seattle on October 25, 2007, 09:37:28 PM



Title: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: jpn of Seattle on October 25, 2007, 09:37:28 PM
These stories should be a dime a dozen, they happen so frequently (savings and loans, fake energy crisis in California). Seems like on average once or twice a decade some segment of society gets burned by some under-regulated industry making a killing off the ignorance or desperation of others.
In the interests of public service, here's yet another example of how government can make life better, and how, when it's stripped away by ideologues, its absence makes people's lives worse.

Quote
A Catastrophe Foretold
By PAUL KRUGMAN
Published: October 26, 2007

“Increased subprime lending has been associated with higher levels of delinquency, foreclosure and, in some cases, abusive lending practices.” So declared Edward M. Gramlich, a Federal Reserve official.

These days a lot of people are saying things like that about subprime loans — mortgages issued to buyers who don’t meet the normal financial criteria for a home loan. But here’s the thing: Mr. Gramlich said those words in May 2004.

And it wasn’t his first warning. In his last book, Mr. Gramlich, who recently died of cancer, revealed that he tried to get Alan Greenspan to increase oversight of subprime lending as early as 2000, but got nowhere.

So why was nothing done to avert the subprime fiasco?

Before I try to answer that question, there are a few things you should know.

First, the situation for both borrowers and investors looks increasingly dire.

A new report from Congress’s Joint Economic Committee predicts that there will be two million foreclosures on subprime mortgages by the end of next year. That’s two million American families facing the humiliation and financial pain of losing their homes.

At the same time, investors who bought assets backed by subprime loans are continuing to suffer severe losses. Everything suggests that there will be many more stories like that of Merrill Lynch, which has just announced an $8.4 billion write-down because of bad loans — $3 billion more than it had announced just a few weeks earlier.

Second, much if not most of the subprime lending that is now going so catastrophically bad took place after it was clear to many of us that there was a serious housing bubble, and after people like Mr. Gramlich had issued public warnings about the subprime situation. As late as 2003, subprime loans accounted for only 8.5 percent of the value of mortgages issued in this country. In 2005 and 2006, the peak years of the housing bubble, subprime was 20 percent of the total — and the delinquency rates on recent subprime loans are much higher than those on older loans.

So, once again, why was nothing done to head off this disaster? The answer is ideology.

In a paper presented just before his death, Mr. Gramlich wrote that “the subprime market was the Wild West. Over half the mortgage loans were made by independent lenders without any federal supervision.” What he didn’t mention was that this was the way the laissez-faire ideologues ruling Washington — a group that very much included Mr. Greenspan — wanted it. They were and are men who believe that government is always the problem, never the solution, that regulation is always a bad thing.

Unfortunately, assertions that unregulated financial markets would take care of themselves have proved as wrong as claims that deregulation would reduce electricity prices.

As Barney Frank, the chairman of the House Financial Services Committee, put it in a recent op-ed article in The Boston Globe, the surge of subprime lending was a sort of “natural experiment” testing the theories of those who favor radical deregulation of financial markets. And the lessons, as Mr. Frank said, are clear: “To the extent that the system did work, it is because of prudential regulation and oversight. Where it was absent, the result was tragedy.”

In fact, both borrowers and investors got scammed.

I’ve written before about the way investors in securities backed by subprime loans were assured that they were buying AAA assets, only to suddenly find that what they really owned were junk bonds. This shock has produced a crisis of confidence in financial markets, which poses a serious threat to the economy.

But the greater tragedy is the one facing borrowers who were offered what they were told were good deals, only to find themselves in a debt trap.

In his final paper, Mr. Gramlich stressed the extent to which unregulated lending is prone to the “abusive lending practices” he mentioned in his 2004 warning. The fact is that many borrowers are ill-equipped to make judgments about “exotic” loans, like subprime loans that offer a low initial “teaser” rate that suddenly jumps after two years, and that include prepayment penalties preventing the borrowers from undoing their mistakes.

Yet such loans were primarily offered to those least able to evaluate them. “Why are the most risky loan products sold to the least sophisticated borrowers?” Mr. Gramlich asked. “The question answers itself — the least sophisticated borrowers are probably duped into taking these products.” And “the predictable result was carnage.”

Mr. Frank is now trying to push through legislation that extends moderate regulation to the subprime market. Despite the scale of the disaster, he’s facing an uphill fight: money still talks in Washington, and the mortgage industry is a huge source of campaign finance. But maybe the subprime catastrophe will be enough to remind us why financial regulation was introduced in the first place.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Abraxas on October 25, 2007, 09:55:32 PM
I'm fine with oversight and punishment for companies that commit crimes... but there is a limit?

It's one thing to punish an evil compnay for things it *DID* but it's quite another to hinder all of them to prevent one from doing harm.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: jpn of Seattle on October 26, 2007, 05:31:14 PM
I'm fine with oversight and punishment for companies that commit crimes... but there is a limit?

It's one thing to punish an evil compnay for things it *DID* but it's quite another to hinder all of them to prevent one from doing harm.

No one would argue with that. But is that where we are currently with regards to the sub-prime lending market?


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Pond Scum on October 26, 2007, 06:21:45 PM
I'm fine with oversight and punishment for companies that commit crimes... but there is a limit?

It's one thing to punish an evil compnay for things it *DID* but it's quite another to hinder all of them to prevent one from doing harm.

Very well said.

I agree 100%. Don't throw the baby out with the bath water.

Yes, mortgage brokers and lenders without scruples, allowed many people to get loans who should not have had loans. Yes, the one part of the OP says what happened very well.......


As late as 2003, subprime loans accounted for only 8.5 percent of the value of mortgages issued in this country. In 2005 and 2006, the peak years of the housing bubble, subprime was 20 percent of the total — and the delinquency rates on recent subprime loans are much higher than those on older loans.


...but still, it seems there may have been an overreaction.

Now, during record foreclosurers in many areas, it is difficult to get a mortgage with less than stellar credit and this is making the problem worse. People are trapped in homes they can't afford and no one can buy them because the appraisers have been inflating prices so people could get refinanced. Refinancing is what kept the sub-prime lenders in business.

Throwing around credit like drunken sailors and then a stiff contraction is what lead to the great depression. Luckily I do not believe the housing crisis will lead to a depression, but it seems we don't learn from past mistakes.

I agree that regulation on all industries is a necessary evil, like government itself, but over regulation is as bad, if not worse, than no regulation.

Finding a balance is not always easy, but I wish our legislators would try a little harder.

An intersting story...

 Ohio State Sues Realtors
2007-06-08 14:09:00
Ohio reeling under foreclosures, ranking third nationwide, has started to sue realtors based in Ohio, California, Arizona and New York, for putting pressure on appraisers to inflate property values. In Ohio it is specifically illegal to do so. Under the hammer have come 7 mortgage brokers, two lenders and one appraiser. Alarm bells rang when foreclosure in Ohio increased by 135% from the previous year making the state run past the national average on the double. It has snowballed into a socio-economic problem. Many have welcomed the move.

The borrower gets a loan on his house on an inflated appraisal. The trouble starts if he falls behind repayment schedules. Actual value of the property will not enable him to sell it and clear his dues. The lawsuit claims that appraisals have been made even without seeing the property.

http://www.foreclosurelistings.com/blog/general/ohio-state-sues-realtors.htm

This should not have happened, but it did and now we will all pay the price as the housing market continues to drop to more realistic prices, shattering the dreams of many families, with enough blame to go around for everyone.

I guess we will have to go through a period of too much regulation before our legislators find some kind of happy medium.






Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Abraxas on October 26, 2007, 07:22:45 PM
I just couldn't believe all the leading indicators were not noticed... or completely ignored. Greenspan SAID he noticed too much of the money in the market to be "loaned" but he said NOTHING.

There is plenty of blame to go around.

Punish the banks that did this and the people losing there house will pay the price as well. And then punish the economists (somehow) that should have seen this coming.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Major Zee Lee on October 27, 2007, 01:25:56 AM
Houm... and what about a bit of PREVENTION as better than RETRIBUTION?

It somehow feels like saying "houm, we shoudn't hamper innocent bacteria because of the few staphylococcus, let's keep antibiotics for when the staph infection has fully developed to not hamper innocent bacteria...", if you know what I mean... Cheating is not a surprise, and the way to prevent cheating and limit damage is PREVIOUS regulation, not regulate once the disaster has occured. At least, if you care more about consumers than about companies...


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Abraxas on October 27, 2007, 01:36:00 AM
Buisness isn't LIKE bacteria. Bacteria comes in contact and BOOM you're infected. Buisness, while it's goal is to make money, is not intentionally trying to screw people.

A buisness can make money, provide a service AND not disenfranchise its customers.

This is the first big scandal in this industry and people are ready to throw the book at the lot of them. Personally, it seems premature.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Major Zee Lee on October 27, 2007, 01:47:23 AM
As I said, rpevention is better than retribution. There's always rotten apples and figuring you'll just deal with them once there's a scandal is damaging to the consumer. The USA have been having an annoying trend of "first time" corporate scandals, you know?

This "who would had figured there would be rotten apples?" attitude does not suit well to a country where the individual is supposed to be of paramount importance -the message to cynical corporations is, "screw them while you can as nobody is going to watch until you've screwed them too much"... that should not be the case. A Spanish syaing goes like "an opportunity makes the thieve", meaning that carelessneess is an invitation to crime...


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Abraxas on October 27, 2007, 02:04:24 AM
As I said, rpevention is better than retribution. There's always rotten apples and figuring you'll just deal with them once there's a scandal is damaging to the consumer. The USA have been having an annoying trend of "first time" corporate scandals, you know?

This "who would had figured there would be rotten apples?" attitude does not suit well to a country where the individual is supposed to be of paramount importance -the message to cynical corporations is, "screw them while you can as nobody is going to watch until you've screwed them too much"... that should not be the case. A Spanish syaing goes like "an opportunity makes the thieve", meaning that carelessneess is an invitation to crime...

Again, I'm fine with oversight to avoid these crimes and making examples of the buisnesses that DO commit crimes, but I'm simply not ready to punish lending companies because a few intended to screw people over.

I doubt either of us will change eachother's minds.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Major Zee Lee on October 27, 2007, 03:13:56 AM
Well, there is a line... I guess I draw it closer to protecting people and you draw it closer to free enterprise. Agree to disagree... ;)


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Gojira on October 28, 2007, 12:28:05 PM
I hate the fact that the social idiom "there is a sucker born every minute" was derived from capitalists who kept on reciting mantras of social Darwinism.  That's the difference between America and other nations -- in this country you have to know where the wind is blowing or you get screwed.  Or, you have to look for your own ass and if you screw up...it's your own fault.

People of business or of higher wealth like to throw around the idea that personal responsibility should have an impact, that the customers should have read the contract, that the customers should have understood that getting into an adjustable rate mortgage (a new type of loan at the time) was all their decision and now we must blame the victim.  At the time when these loans were being made and then financiers started repackaging them into newer securities, no one even questioned whether these people could hold these loans.  The only thing that the sub-prime lenders had on their minds was being able to get cheap credit out quick so they can profit off fees.  The only problem was that securitization hid the information and now people in London who structured those securities for investments got hurt by it and everyone else is jumping out windows because NO ONE knows where the losses are going to end up. 

And now people are out of their homes that they shouldn't have been getting anyways, investment funds who have leveraged their risk using the securities now are getting a hit and now the Fed is forced to cut rates in which screws everybody...oh wait, I am sorry, except for the rich.  That's a great way to fix a problem caused by an enormous money supply, print more FUCKING MONEY!   

When you have a culture that bases its values on getting what you deserve, the American dream come true is where every American gets the house with the white picket fence, 2.4 kids and a dog.  Of course everyone who has no money to spend that is now able to get cheap money is going to rush in.  Not because they are stupid, but because they are impulsive.  We have shoved so much of the American Dream bull-shit down our poor's throats it just sickens me that this nation has to turn our back on them to protect vested interests in business just because we like to blame the people who got into the loans in the first place. 

But it is OK if everyone has to suffer because the rich, like always, get away scotch free.  I consider my self to be somewhat smart, but the reality is, most people don't have the privilege to even be averagely smart.  As long as the market continually decides to profit off of misinformation, abuse will ensue and that is why certain people need to be protected.  Not because their dumb decisions will hurt them, but because their dumb decisions will hurt everyone else overall.  Oh sorry...except for the rich. 


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Dog Face 11B on October 28, 2007, 03:24:08 PM
These stories should be a dime a dozen, they happen so frequently (savings and loans, fake energy crisis in California). Seems like on average once or twice a decade some segment of society gets burned by some under-regulated industry making a killing off the ignorance or desperation of others.
In the interests of public service, here's yet another example of how government can make life better, and how, when it's stripped away by ideologues, its absence makes people's lives worse.

Quote
A Catastrophe Foretold
By PAUL KRUGMAN
Published: October 26, 2007

“Increased subprime lending has been associated with higher levels of delinquency, foreclosure and, in some cases, abusive lending practices.” So declared Edward M. Gramlich, a Federal Reserve official.

These days a lot of people are saying things like that about subprime loans — mortgages issued to buyers who don’t meet the normal financial criteria for a home loan. But here’s the thing: Mr. Gramlich said those words in May 2004.

And it wasn’t his first warning. In his last book, Mr. Gramlich, who recently died of cancer, revealed that he tried to get Alan Greenspan to increase oversight of subprime lending as early as 2000, but got nowhere.

So why was nothing done to avert the subprime fiasco?

Before I try to answer that question, there are a few things you should know.

First, the situation for both borrowers and investors looks increasingly dire.

A new report from Congress’s Joint Economic Committee predicts that there will be two million foreclosures on subprime mortgages by the end of next year. That’s two million American families facing the humiliation and financial pain of losing their homes.

At the same time, investors who bought assets backed by subprime loans are continuing to suffer severe losses. Everything suggests that there will be many more stories like that of Merrill Lynch, which has just announced an $8.4 billion write-down because of bad loans — $3 billion more than it had announced just a few weeks earlier.

Second, much if not most of the subprime lending that is now going so catastrophically bad took place after it was clear to many of us that there was a serious housing bubble, and after people like Mr. Gramlich had issued public warnings about the subprime situation. As late as 2003, subprime loans accounted for only 8.5 percent of the value of mortgages issued in this country. In 2005 and 2006, the peak years of the housing bubble, subprime was 20 percent of the total — and the delinquency rates on recent subprime loans are much higher than those on older loans.

So, once again, why was nothing done to head off this disaster? The answer is ideology.

In a paper presented just before his death, Mr. Gramlich wrote that “the subprime market was the Wild West. Over half the mortgage loans were made by independent lenders without any federal supervision.” What he didn’t mention was that this was the way the laissez-faire ideologues ruling Washington — a group that very much included Mr. Greenspan — wanted it. They were and are men who believe that government is always the problem, never the solution, that regulation is always a bad thing.

Unfortunately, assertions that unregulated financial markets would take care of themselves have proved as wrong as claims that deregulation would reduce electricity prices.

As Barney Frank, the chairman of the House Financial Services Committee, put it in a recent op-ed article in The Boston Globe, the surge of subprime lending was a sort of “natural experiment” testing the theories of those who favor radical deregulation of financial markets. And the lessons, as Mr. Frank said, are clear: “To the extent that the system did work, it is because of prudential regulation and oversight. Where it was absent, the result was tragedy.”

In fact, both borrowers and investors got scammed.

I’ve written before about the way investors in securities backed by subprime loans were assured that they were buying AAA assets, only to suddenly find that what they really owned were junk bonds. This shock has produced a crisis of confidence in financial markets, which poses a serious threat to the economy.

But the greater tragedy is the one facing borrowers who were offered what they were told were good deals, only to find themselves in a debt trap.

In his final paper, Mr. Gramlich stressed the extent to which unregulated lending is prone to the “abusive lending practices” he mentioned in his 2004 warning. The fact is that many borrowers are ill-equipped to make judgments about “exotic” loans, like subprime loans that offer a low initial “teaser” rate that suddenly jumps after two years, and that include prepayment penalties preventing the borrowers from undoing their mistakes.

Yet such loans were primarily offered to those least able to evaluate them. “Why are the most risky loan products sold to the least sophisticated borrowers?” Mr. Gramlich asked. “The question answers itself — the least sophisticated borrowers are probably duped into taking these products.” And “the predictable result was carnage.”

Mr. Frank is now trying to push through legislation that extends moderate regulation to the subprime market. Despite the scale of the disaster, he’s facing an uphill fight: money still talks in Washington, and the mortgage industry is a huge source of campaign finance. But maybe the subprime catastrophe will be enough to remind us why financial regulation was introduced in the first place.


If this was the case Hillary would be in jail for her involvement in the saving and loan scam.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: jpn of Seattle on October 28, 2007, 07:50:00 PM
Quote from: Dog Face
If this was the case Hillary would be in jail for her involvement in the saving and loan scam.

What a great point that would be except for:

1) It is completely irrelevant to the discussion, which is the degree to which government should regulate business, and
2) Clinton had no notorious involvement with the savings and loan scam.

Other than that, great point.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Dog Face 11B on October 29, 2007, 05:36:22 AM
Quote from: Dog Face
If this was the case Hillary would be in jail for her involvement in the saving and loan scam.

What a great point that would be except for:

1) It is completely irrelevant to the discussion, which is the degree to which government should regulate business, and
2) Clinton had no notorious involvement with the savings and loan scam.

Other than that, great point.

You are one liberal stooge

Quote
Jury Gets Case of Arkansas Governor and Clinton's Ex-Partners
By ALLEN R. MYERSON
Federal fraud charges against two Whitewater business partners of Bill and Hillary Rodham Clinton, as well as the Governor of Arkansas, went to a jury shortly after noon today. The Clintons' former partners, James B. McDougal and his former wife, Susan, along with Gov. Jim Guy Tucker, are accused of conspiring to obtain millions of dollars in federally backed loans from Madison Guaranty Savings and Loan in the 1980's. Madison was controlled by the McDougals but collapsed in 1989 at a cost to ta...


Its all a scam, same with this lending market. Suckers


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: gommi on October 29, 2007, 06:23:45 AM
Houm... and what about a bit of PREVENTION as better than RETRIBUTION?
Very true. Punishing specific businesses after they engage in harmful practices is ineffective, and does not signify progress in society in any way. To identify the problems with the economic system and prevent them from occurring is the only real solution.

Low salaries and underemployment with a precarious sub-prime loaning market is the cause of much financial and social instability. This of course is allowed to continue under a government that faithfully and foolishly preaches the benefits of deregulation, completely disregarding the welfare of its citizens.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: jpn of Seattle on October 29, 2007, 08:14:31 AM
Quote from: gommi
Houm... and what about a bit of PREVENTION as better than RETRIBUTION?
Very true. Punishing specific businesses after they engage in harmful practices is ineffective, and does not signify progress in society in any way.[/quote]

Careful. If that idea starts getting much currency, the whole Republican "tough on crime" dogma goes out the window.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: OswaldTheOsprey on October 29, 2007, 08:24:14 AM
We don't need regulation-we need nationalization.

OswaldTheOsprey


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: 2.DOH on October 29, 2007, 08:42:28 AM
Low salaries and underemployment with a precarious sub-prime loaning market is the cause of much financial and social instability. This of course is allowed to continue under a government that faithfully and foolishly preaches the benefits of deregulation, completely disregarding the welfare of its citizens.

Low salaries? Where?

Underemployment? Compared to what?


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Abraxas on October 29, 2007, 09:36:12 AM
Quote from: gommi
Quote from: Major Zee Lee
Houm... and what about a bit of PREVENTION as better than RETRIBUTION?

Very true. Punishing specific businesses after they engage in harmful practices is ineffective, and does not signify progress in society in any way.

Careful. If that idea starts getting much currency, the whole Republican "tough on crime" dogma goes out the window.

BS. This has nothing to do with party and everything to do with free market vs. un-free market.

This is the first incident with the mortage industry, which means for many years it has been effective without some cumbersome beurocracy getting in the way. Why involve the government if we don't have to?

See, that's the difference between some of us and some of you. I simply don't see a point in having the government involved in this. Health insurance and credit card lenders, maybe, because there are repeated violations in those industries, but this is a one-time thing and wasting ANY tax money on ANY government action would be unessecary.

Also, let's understand the word "punishment". This punishment needs to be understood by other companies that doing the same would be a BAD idea. I want complete destruction of that company. I want their holdings distributed among the people they hurt and I want the people personally responcible sentenced to MASSIVE jail time.

Free market doesn't work when we're just slapping people on the wrist.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Baldar on October 29, 2007, 09:54:23 AM
Consider Enron and its wholesale fraud.  It no longer exists.  Consider also Arther Andersen the auditing firm in which one local senior partner took part in the Enron fraud (I also lost a nice chunk of change on the deal).  The auditing firm no longer exists.  It was, by the way, the biggest and most prestigious auditing firm in the world.

I think for the most part our system does work.

On top of that we have the Sarbanes-Oxley requirements which are so onerous that companies are no reversing and going private rather than deal with a cost that tends to equal 10% of revenue.

As to Krugman, he is a joke among economists of note.  He sucks up to the camera quite a bit.  Some factual issues to contend with.  The report by the "Joint Economic Committee" tends to reflect the desires of the majority party.  More to the point the majority on the committee usually votes to strike anything that might be considered, shall we say, mitigating.  In other words they write what the majority party wants them to write.  Also the report itself is fraught with some disengenuous use of statistics.  For instance, they will take the month with the highest number of mortgages and then "extrapolate" that large number as an equal for every proceeding month.  This is done in order to show the "dire consequences".  Krugman knows this, and yet he uses it as if to show the "objectivity" of the number speaks for itself.  I believe, the number does speak for itself, but of course unlike Krugman, who wil not tell you, I do have an idea as to how that number is derived.  Its one reason Krugman has no credibility where he is concerned.  He will use dirty misaligned statistics for political reasons rather than research and show exactly what the problem might be.


Again, Krugman does not tell you that subprimes make up 4% of the overall loan market.  Now why is that?  Why isnt he up front and honest on that level?

These are only two key examples of why I don't trust Krugman and also why I feel the post is disengenuous.  If you know nothing about the loan financing the story is indeed very very scary.  However if you do know even a few key statistics and issues, you can see past the contextual falsehoods and wonder how anyone can believe this stuff.

I think the loan market has served us well, I believe it continues to do so.  I don't believe it is perfect, but I certainly don't believe it as risen to the standard that the government must, in a knee jerk reaction, come in and take it over.  Its that kind of leftist thinking that usually screws people out of their right to make decisions.

Anyway, that is my point of view, and yes, I am not a huge fan of big government, though sometimes I do think it is needed, but the action should be rare and prudent, not reactive and over the top.



Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Abraxas on October 29, 2007, 10:00:34 AM
*applaud to Baldar*

Now they're even with your smites, by the way.

Excellent post.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: jpn of Seattle on October 29, 2007, 10:13:57 PM
One may disagree with Krugman on politics, but when it comes to Economics, he's no less than a world-recognized expert.
His professional reputation rests largely on work in international trade and finance; he is one of the founders of the "new trade theory," a major rethinking of the theory of international trade.
He is a winner of the Clark Medal, which among Economists is right up there with the Nobel.
He has held chairs of Economics in Yale, MIT, and Stanford. He's currently professor of Economics and International Affairs at Princeton University.

Krugman is "a joke among economists of note"?
No, he's not.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Baldar on October 29, 2007, 10:19:21 PM
I don't care if he won the Olympic Gold.

If he is using bad statistics to push his agenda, he has pretty much sold out for his politics.

You should do a study on how joint committees in congress work, I am sure Krugman has, he would have done better to have used something else.

Care to tell us why Krugman did not inform his audience that only 4 percent of loans are subprime?  Did he think that statistic was unimportant?  Or perhaps that it would undermine his ability to cry wolf.

Hiding behind medals doesn't do much for the truth now does it?  Or are you willing to do the same?  It goes to credibility, or in your case, lets hope naivite in understanding economics and politics.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: jpn of Seattle on October 29, 2007, 10:19:57 PM
Baldar wrote: "Also the report itself is fraught with some disengenuous use of statistics.  For instance, they will take the month with the highest number of mortgages and then "extrapolate" that large number as an equal for every proceeding month.  This is done in order to show the "dire consequences".  Krugman knows this, and yet he uses it as if to show the "objectivity" of the number speaks for itself."

Is that right, Baldar? Have any sources or references to back that up? I notice that you're often long on assertions and short on sources. And could you explain to all of us what a "proceeding month" is? Did you mean preceding? Or did you mean subsequent?

Very tough trying to read many of your posts. Is English a second language for you? Sprechen Sie Deutch?


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Baldar on October 29, 2007, 10:22:09 PM
Quote
He has held chairs of Economics in Yale, MIT, and Stanford. He's currently professor of Economics and International Affairs at Princeton University.

Do you know what holding a chair means? 

By the way, Krugman, who was on the Enron board certainly did a good job didn't he.  ;)


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: jpn of Seattle on October 29, 2007, 10:22:54 PM
I don't care if he won the Olympic Gold.

If he is using bad statistics to push his agenda, he has pretty much sold out for his politics.

You should do a study on how joint committees in congress work, I am sure Krugman has, he would have done better to have used something else.

Care to tell us why Krugman did not inform his audience that only 4 percent of loans are subprime?  Did he think that statistic was unimportant?  Or perhaps that it would undermine his ability to cry wolf.

Hiding behind medals doesn't do much for the truth now does it?  Or are you willing to do the same?  It goes to credibility, or in your case, lets hope naivite in understanding economics and politics.

Since you're the one who claimed that he is "a joke among economists of note," which I showed is absolutely false, I would say that you're the one with the credibility problem, not him.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Baldar on October 29, 2007, 10:28:50 PM
Baldar wrote: "Also the report itself is fraught with some disengenuous use of statistics.  For instance, they will take the month with the highest number of mortgages and then "extrapolate" that large number as an equal for every proceeding month.  This is done in order to show the "dire consequences".  Krugman knows this, and yet he uses it as if to show the "objectivity" of the number speaks for itself."

Is that right, Baldar? Have any sources or references to back that up? I notice that you're often long on assertions and short on sources. And could you explain to all of us what a "proceeding month" is? Did you mean preceding? Or did you mean subsequent?

Very tough trying to read many of your posts. Is English a second language for you? Sprechen Sie Deutch?

I realize its tough for you to read the posts.  You are relatively uneducated.  Proceeding I suppose could be better used with subsequen, shrug, subsequent is also good.  Lets hope you don't hang your hat on that, though it seems it is all you haveleft.

English is my second language.  And yet, I find I still speak it better than you do, or in the least, I am much more able to converse at a higher level. Don't hate me because I am beautiful.  ;)

I suggest you do some reading up on how join committees work.  While carrying out some US/UN authorized work in third world countries I had one hell of a wake up call as to how the committees work with majority votes making the decisions.  Perhaps you are naive enough to believe that committees will gladly accept all information and place that information openly in reports.

I know different.  Maybe you need to think about it a while?


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Baldar on October 29, 2007, 10:31:33 PM
I don't care if he won the Olympic Gold.

If he is using bad statistics to push his agenda, he has pretty much sold out for his politics.

You should do a study on how joint committees in congress work, I am sure Krugman has, he would have done better to have used something else.

Care to tell us why Krugman did not inform his audience that only 4 percent of loans are subprime?  Did he think that statistic was unimportant?  Or perhaps that it would undermine his ability to cry wolf.

Hiding behind medals doesn't do much for the truth now does it?  Or are you willing to do the same?  It goes to credibility, or in your case, lets hope naivite in understanding economics and politics.

Since you're the one who claimed that he is "a joke among economists of note," which I showed is absolutely false, I would say that you're the one with the credibility problem, not him.

He is, Greenspan won't deal with him, I suggest you read his book, he does not speak well of Krugman, of course neither does Volcker who was appointed by Jimmy Carter.  He isn't accepted and he is pretty much sold out for the politics.  Of course Enron really helped his repuation too.  :-X  Oh but maybe you didn't know that either.

I am sure you believe alot of people who were on the board of directors or auditing Enron were very credible don't you?  ;D ;D


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Pond Scum on October 29, 2007, 11:52:53 PM
Consider Enron and its wholesale fraud.  It no longer exists.  Consider also Arther Andersen the auditing firm in which one local senior partner took part in the Enron fraud (I also lost a nice chunk of change on the deal).  The auditing firm no longer exists.  It was, by the way, the biggest and most prestigious auditing firm in the world.

I think for the most part our system does work.

On top of that we have the Sarbanes-Oxley requirements which are so onerous that companies are no reversing and going private rather than deal with a cost that tends to equal 10% of revenue.

As to Krugman, he is a joke among economists of note.  He sucks up to the camera quite a bit.  Some factual issues to contend with.  The report by the "Joint Economic Committee" tends to reflect the desires of the majority party.  More to the point the majority on the committee usually votes to strike anything that might be considered, shall we say, mitigating.  In other words they write what the majority party wants them to write.  Also the report itself is fraught with some disengenuous use of statistics.  For instance, they will take the month with the highest number of mortgages and then "extrapolate" that large number as an equal for every proceeding month.  This is done in order to show the "dire consequences".  Krugman knows this, and yet he uses it as if to show the "objectivity" of the number speaks for itself.  I believe, the number does speak for itself, but of course unlike Krugman, who wil not tell you, I do have an idea as to how that number is derived.  Its one reason Krugman has no credibility where he is concerned.  He will use dirty misaligned statistics for political reasons rather than research and show exactly what the problem might be.


Again, Krugman does not tell you that subprimes make up 4% of the overall loan market.  Now why is that?  Why isnt he up front and honest on that level?

These are only two key examples of why I don't trust Krugman and also why I feel the post is disengenuous.  If you know nothing about the loan financing the story is indeed very very scary.  However if you do know even a few key statistics and issues, you can see past the contextual falsehoods and wonder how anyone can believe this stuff.

I think the loan market has served us well, I believe it continues to do so.  I don't believe it is perfect, but I certainly don't believe it as risen to the standard that the government must, in a knee jerk reaction, come in and take it over.  Its that kind of leftist thinking that usually screws people out of their right to make decisions.

Anyway, that is my point of view, and yes, I am not a huge fan of big government, though sometimes I do think it is needed, but the action should be rare and prudent, not reactive and over the top.



The percentage of sub-prime mortgages right now is not really that relevant. It was percentages over the last three years.

Here is an example from the Boston Globe in 2005.......

In Massachusetts, subprime loans, fueled by refinancings, have grown from 1.6 percent of mortgages in 2000 to 12.3 percent today.

Subprime lenders foreclose on properties much more frequently than do conventional lenders. About 3.5 percent of subprime mortgages and refinancing loans go into foreclosure, but a study by the University of North Carolina Kenan-Flagler Business School found that 20 percent of refinancings in 1998 through 2000 that were examined wound up in foreclosure. For conventional loans, the rate is 1.1 percent of mortgages and refinancings.

http://www.boston.com/business/personalfinance/articles/2005/08/03/dark_side_of_subprime_loans/

From the AP three days ago.........

LOS ANGELES (AP) — Countrywide Financial Corp. lost $1.2 billion in the third quarter, but its shares soared Friday after the nation's largest mortgage lender said it expects to be profitable this quarter and next year.

It was Countrywide's first quarterly loss in 25 years.

The number of subprime loans that were behind in payments soared to 29.08 percent from 18.32 percent in the year-ago period.

In the subprime loan category, 12.63 percent of the loans were behind in payments by 90 days or more, more than twice the year-ago rate.

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5jYIDZKbYou-qvStbyZW9P5dL1wxgD8SH6BB01

From Bloomberg today........

Oct. 30 (Bloomberg) -- UBS AG, Europe's largest bank by assets, reported its first quarterly loss in almost five years after declines in the U.S. subprime mortgage market led to $4.4 billion in losses and writedowns on fixed-income securities.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601085&sid=axh50TGDC25A&refer=europe

From CNN, March of 2007........

Last year, 13.5 percent of mortgages originated in the U.S. were subprime, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association, compared to 2.6 percent in 2000. Overall, the subprime market was $600 billion in 2006, 20 percent of the $3 trillion mortgage market, according to Inside Mortgage Finance. In 2001, subprime loans made ups just 5.6 percent of mortgage dollars.

By the end of 2006, subprime delinquencies more than 60 days late jumped to almost 13 percent, compared to 8 percent a year earlier, according to LoanPerformance.

http://money.cnn.com/2007/02/28/magazines/fortune/subprime.fortune/index.htm

Wall Strret Jounal analysis found......

High-rate mortgages accounted for 29% of the total number of home loans originated last year, up from 16% in 2004.

http://finance.yahoo.com/loans/article/103704/The-United-States-of-Subprime-Loans

NEWSFLASH: The percentage of loans made up by subprime loans is not that relevant overall, especially considering what just 2 years of "creative financing" has done to the housing market, lenders, and more than a couple of large corporations.

Maybe the reason Krugman doesn't mention the 4% figure is because it is irrelevant, just like most of your post.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: gommi on October 30, 2007, 02:27:48 PM
Low salaries? Where?

Underemployment? Compared to what?

According to many analysts, the American economy continues to expand and yet average wages remain stagnant. A report from the Economic Policy Institute specifically states that:

Quote
For real household incomes, the median point - the level at which half of households earn more and half less - has actually fallen over the past five years.

There are also of course countless examples of families requiring multiple incomes to survive.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: OswaldTheOsprey on October 30, 2007, 03:58:08 PM
Low salaries? Where?

Underemployment? Compared to what?

According to many analysts, the American economy continues to expand and yet average wages remain stagnant. A report from the Economic Policy Institute specifically states that:

Quote
For real household incomes, the median point - the level at which half of households earn more and half less - has actually fallen over the past five years.

There are also of course countless examples of families requiring multiple incomes to survive.

This nation means nothing to multi-national corporation. Borderless profits and the more the better! Mammonism run wild! International high finance paves the way for everything. NAFTA, CAFTA, GATT-anyone smell a rat?

OswaldTheOsprey


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: jpn of Seattle on October 30, 2007, 06:33:11 PM
Baldar wrote: "Also the report itself is fraught with some disengenuous use of statistics.  For instance, they will take the month with the highest number of mortgages and then "extrapolate" that large number as an equal for every proceeding month.  This is done in order to show the "dire consequences".  Krugman knows this, and yet he uses it as if to show the "objectivity" of the number speaks for itself."

Is that right, Baldar? Have any sources or references to back that up? I notice that you're often long on assertions and short on sources. And could you explain to all of us what a "proceeding month" is? Did you mean preceding? Or did you mean subsequent?

Very tough trying to read many of your posts. Is English a second language for you? Sprechen Sie Deutch?

I realize its tough for you to read the posts.  You are relatively uneducated.  Proceeding I suppose could be better used with subsequen, shrug, subsequent is also good.  Lets hope you don't hang your hat on that, though it seems it is all you haveleft.

English is my second language.  And yet, I find I still speak it better than you do, or in the least, I am much more able to converse at a higher level. Don't hate me because I am beautiful.  ;)

I suggest you do some reading up on how join committees work.  While carrying out some US/UN authorized work in third world countries I had one hell of a wake up call as to how the committees work with majority votes making the decisions.  Perhaps you are naive enough to believe that committees will gladly accept all information and place that information openly in reports.

I know different.  Maybe you need to think about it a while?

You wrote: "Proceeding I suppose could be better used with subsequen, shrug, subsequent is also good." 
I'm not quite sure what that means, but I believe you're saying that, "yeah, I suppose 'subsequent' is also a good word to use, along with 'proceeding'."

Actually it's worse than that. 'Proceeding' makes no sense at all in the context you used it.

The only reason I belabor this point is because I've found that if I don't spell these things out clearly at the time, weeks from now you'll "remember" the time I "thought" I had caught you using a word mistakenly but then you "proved" that you were right all along. So no. You didn't choose a word for which a better word may have been used. You used a word completely incorrectly.

More importantly, I asked if you had any references to back up your accusation about the alleged misuse of data. You seem to have conveniently failed to address that.
Just like you can't back up your accusation that Krugman is "a joke among economists of note."
 

You're a hack, Baldar. You say things you want to be true, not what are true.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Irwin on November 04, 2007, 11:27:08 AM
Buisness, while it's goal is to make money, is not intentionally trying to screw people.

I don't think you've ever said anything more naive. Maybe when you need to pay your own bills...

$3.00 fees to get your money from an ATM? Maybe a bank card that lets you over-draw your account, just so the bank can collect the 32 dollar fee, then a week after, charge you 7 bucks a day until it is paid. ALL banks do this. If they didn't want to screw you, your bank card would be declined, when you try to charge more than is in your account. There is absolutely no reason they can't just cut you off, except that they want the fees.

When I was a kid, you put money in a bank and it accrued interest, after all, they are using YOUR money to make THIER profit. Now your interest is eaten up in fees. Love it! Charging you money to make money off YOUR money.

How about these places that offer loans to get you by a week, just till your next paycheck? Your rent is coming up. You are desperate. You go to one of these places. Know what they charge? 98% APR. Yes, you grew up in a time, when no one would dare say business is bad. Business is good, people are bad. You were too young to remember when "greed is good" became the American mantra. It still is today.

Greed isn't about screwing people?


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Irwin on November 04, 2007, 11:36:12 AM
We don't need regulation-we need nationalization.

OswaldTheOsprey

Nationalization is in effect total regulation. I agree that certain things, like utilities should not be in private hands. That is as stupid as privatizing highways and prisons. National health is also the only alternative. But, beyond that, I stop.

Want a more effective way to stop illegal workers than cracking down on them? Crack down on the businesses that hire them, with jail time. Illegal migration will end tomorrow. Migrants (most DO NOT stay here) are used to suffering and humiliation, that's why they are coming here. A nice, middle class businessman, though, is different. Throw one in jail and watch the rest of them, "see the light" about hiring illegals. They'll have to raise their wages to hire Americans, some business will go under, most will survive. 


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: OswaldTheOsprey on November 04, 2007, 11:40:44 AM
We don't need regulation-we need nationalization.

OswaldTheOsprey

Nationalization is in effect total regulation. I agree that certain things, like utilities should not be in private hands. That is as stupid as privatizing highways and prisons. National health is also the only alternative. But, beyond that, I stop.

Want a more effective way to stop illegal workers than cracking down on them? Crack down on the businesses that hire them, with jail time. Illegal migration will end tomorrow. Migrants (most DO NOT stay here) are used to suffering and humiliation, that's why they are coming here. A nice, middle class businessman, though, is different. Throw one in jail and watch the rest of them, "see the light" about hiring illegals. They'll have to raise their wages to hire Americans, some business will go under, most will survive. 

Why should they survive? Capitalism does not have the interest of our Motherland at heart. Hence outsourcing and importing cheap labor. Borders and national sovereignty are inimical to the "Profits uber alles" crowd.

OswaldTheOsprey


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Abraxas on November 04, 2007, 04:08:08 PM
Buisness, while it's goal is to make money, is not intentionally trying to screw people.

I don't think you've ever said anything more naive. Maybe when you need to pay your own bills...

$3.00 fees to get your money from an ATM? Maybe a bank card that lets you over-draw your account, just so the bank can collect the 32 dollar fee, then a week after, charge you 7 bucks a day until it is paid. ALL banks do this. If they didn't want to screw you, your bank card would be declined, when you try to charge more than is in your account. There is absolutely no reason they can't just cut you off, except that they want the fees.

Wait, wait, wait.

You're blaming BANKS when you overdraw your own account?

HYSTERICAL!

Quote from: Irwin
When I was a kid, you put money in a bank and it accrued interest, after all, they are using YOUR money to make THIER profit. Now your interest is eaten up in fees. Love it! Charging you money to make money off YOUR money.

In a standard svaings account or CD you shouldn't have to worry about anything except the initial fee.

Maybe you're just irresponcible.

Quote from: Irwin
How about these places that offer loans to get you by a week, just till your next paycheck? Your rent is coming up. You are desperate. You go to one of these places. Know what they charge? 98% APR. Yes, you grew up in a time, when no one would dare say business is bad. Business is good, people are bad. You were too young to remember when "greed is good" became the American mantra. It still is today.

Greed isn't about screwing people?

No, it's about getting money.

Screwing people is a side effect.

Of course, when you're complaining about banks letting you overdraw your own account and then (OH HORRORS!) slapping you with fees, maybe you need to take a better look at your own economic practices.

Or change banks.

I haven't had any problems with Commerce Bank, actually.

Just a recomendation.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Pond Scum on November 04, 2007, 10:58:21 PM
We don't need regulation-we need nationalization.

OswaldTheOsprey


Nationalization is in effect total regulation. I agree that certain things, like utilities should not be in private hands. That is as stupid as privatizing highways and prisons. National health is also the only alternative. But, beyond that, I stop.

Want a more effective way to stop illegal workers than cracking down on them? Crack down on the businesses that hire them, with jail time. Illegal migration will end tomorrow. Migrants (most DO NOT stay here) are used to suffering and humiliation, that's why they are coming here. A nice, middle class businessman, though, is different. Throw one in jail and watch the rest of them, "see the light" about hiring illegals. They'll have to raise their wages to hire Americans, some business will go under, most will survive. 


What about the 20 million illegal immigrants already here? Do you want them all to get fired? EVEN IF THEY DID, IT WOULD NOT STOP ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION, ALTHOUGH IT WOULD LIKELY SLOW IT A TAD. The poorest person in America has it way better than a poor person in Mexico. At least there are a lot more opportunities here. There were over a million arrests last year for illegal border crossings. Now, what percentage do you think got away?

The only logical answers are deportation, or naturalization. Anything else is just a joke.

Cracking down on employers will only make problems worse, in my opinion. If they are here illegally, I would rather they be working than committing crime, or living off the system.

Deportation or Naturalization. The only logical choices.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Irwin on November 05, 2007, 08:17:13 AM


You're blaming BANKS when you overdraw your own account?

HYSTERICAL!

Hysterical is actually trying to tell me that this isn't common sense: NO MONEY IN ACCOUNT, BANK NO PAY BILL. A cat could understand that. But not you, you think it is wonderful that they LET you overdraw your account, so they can charge you a fee.

Quote from: Irwin
When I was a kid, you put money in a bank and it accrued interest, after all, they are using YOUR money to make THIER profit. Now your interest is eaten up in fees. Love it! Charging you money to make money off YOUR money.

In a standard svaings account or CD you shouldn't have to worry about anything except the initial fee.

Maybe you're just irresponcible.

Irresponsible? What is your bank, genius? The Bank of Mom and Dad? Oh, no, they just pay your bills. Yes, Commerce bank ATMs are wherever you need them when you want to spend your allowance.

I work 45 hours a week AND go to school full time and every month I still have to choose between paying Rent, Electric, Phone, water, gas and my debts, you snotty little prick. I generally go without eating and have no life. And, no, punk, I can't get a better job. With my school hours, I need optimum flexibility, not offered in higher paying work. 

Quote from: Irwin
How about these places that offer loans to get you by a week, just till your next paycheck? Your rent is coming up. You are desperate. You go to one of these places. Know what they charge? 98% APR. Yes, you grew up in a time, when no one would dare say business is bad. Business is good, people are bad. You were too young to remember when "greed is good" became the American mantra. It still is today.

Greed isn't about screwing people?

No, it's about getting money.

LOL!!! Oh, right, greed is about playing nice and baking cookies and just happening to make money.

Definitions, kid, definitions:

    * excessive desire to acquire or possess more (especially more material wealth) than one needs or deserves
    * avarice: reprehensible acquisitiveness; insatiable desire for wealth
      wordnet.princeton.edu/perl/webwn
    * Greed is excessive or uncontrolled desire for or pursuit of money, wealth, food, or other possessions, especially when this denies the same goods to others.

Quote from: Abraxas
Screwing people is a side effect.

Like, say pregnancy is a side-effect of rape.



Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Abraxas on November 05, 2007, 11:01:09 AM
You're blaming BANKS when you overdraw your own account?

HYSTERICAL!

Hysterical is actually trying to tell me that this isn't common sense: NO MONEY IN ACCOUNT, BANK NO PAY BILL. A cat could understand that. But not you, you think it is wonderful that they LET you overdraw your account, so they can charge you a fee.

Common sense?

Common sense would be knowing how much money how much money is in your account BEFORE you start spending all willy nilly. Almost EVERY bank offers you the chance to view your balance by phone or internet. It's common sence to routinely check these sources. In fact, that's not "common sence". That's responcibility.

Regardless, you clearly know neither.

Quote from: Irwin
Quote from: Irwin
When I was a kid, you put money in a bank and it accrued interest, after all, they are using YOUR money to make THIER profit. Now your interest is eaten up in fees. Love it! Charging you money to make money off YOUR money.

In a standard svaings account or CD you shouldn't have to worry about anything except the initial fee.

Maybe you're just irresponcible.

Irresponsible? What is your bank, genius? The Bank of Mom and Dad? Oh, no, they just pay your bills. Yes, Commerce bank ATMs are wherever you need them when you want to spend your allowance.

I work 45 hours a week AND go to school full time and every month I still have to choose between paying Rent, Electric, Phone, water, gas and my debts, you snotty little prick. I generally go without eating and have no life. And, no, punk, I can't get a better job. With my school hours, I need optimum flexibility, not offered in higher paying work.

My, your powers of assumption are incredible. Your ability to soooooo expertly classify me rivals that of other online idiots who think they know me... even though we haven't met.

I'm currently at a regimented college where I can leave campus ONE night a week. That's not counting the 20 credits of math and engineering classes I'm taking in the hopes of achieving my BE in Naval Architecture (165 credits in all). In addition, I'm pursuing a 3rd Assistence Engineer's lisence, which takes 2 months out of my year, in aditiion to the 8 MONTHS I'm in school. Yes, you got it. I have 2 months of time to myself, which I usually spend taking summer or winter classes.

So tell me a buisness that will hire a person who can work ONE day a week. Please, by all means, tell me.

Since I'm on schedule this winter, my friend might be able to get me a busser job at a Red Lobster. It's all I can take cause I don't have time to train as anything else.

...

I don't know why I spent so much effort responding to your ridiculous reply. Maybe you'll learn to not so erroneously judge people you don't know.

Quote from: Irwin
Quote from: Irwin
How about these places that offer loans to get you by a week, just till your next paycheck? Your rent is coming up. You are desperate. You go to one of these places. Know what they charge? 98% APR. Yes, you grew up in a time, when no one would dare say business is bad. Business is good, people are bad. You were too young to remember when "greed is good" became the American mantra. It still is today.

Greed isn't about screwing people?

No, it's about getting money.

LOL!!! Oh, right, greed is about playing nice and baking cookies and just happening to make money.

Definitions, kid, definitions:

    * excessive desire to acquire or possess more (especially more material wealth) than one needs or deserves
    * avarice: reprehensible acquisitiveness; insatiable desire for wealth
      wordnet.princeton.edu/perl/webwn
    * Greed is excessive or uncontrolled desire for or pursuit of money, wealth, food, or other possessions, especially when this denies the same goods to others.

So what? You have a text book definition of "greed" and it's supposed to make a point?

Banks provide a service, just like any other buisness... and just like any other  buisness, they want to make money.

Quote from: Irwin
Quote from: Abraxas
Screwing people is a side effect.

Like, say pregnancy is a side-effect of rape.

There are steps you can take that can safeguard you from the bank, just as there are ways a woman can protect herself from a rapist.

The former can use KNOWLEDGE while the latter can use a gun.

(http://www.a-human-right.com/RKBA/bettys_kit.jpg)


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: gomper7 on November 05, 2007, 05:06:50 PM
This whole issue is one of the prime examples of why I identify myself as a conservative.  I actually agree with liberals on a host of issues, but the one place I draw the line, the one reason I cannot accept the label of liberal: liberals do not believe in personal responsibility.  I believe, without personal responsibility,  the whole social contract begins to unravel, it is a really really bad road to start down.

Now, ask any liberal, jpn for example, and I am sure he will tell you absolutely he believes in personal responsibility.  Unfortunately, so many of the policies they advocate do just the opposite.  The democrats in congress are looking at ways to start helping some of the borrowers who borrowed way more than they could afford on shody and stupid interest only and other sub-prime loans in the hope that they could refinance or sell for big profits down the road since the houseing boom showed no signs of slowing down.  Well, guess what, they got screwed, the structure of their loans are coming due and they cannot afford the new payments, and the cannot refinance cause now the houses are worth way less than they owe.  But hey, it is not their fault, they are just poor victims of these unscrupulous lenders who cajoled them into taking these loans and these fat cats are walking away with millions off the backs of poor hardworking Americans.  Right, except no one seems to notice on this thread, that those fat cat lenders that are making so much of their victims, are foreclosing on houses that are now worth way less than THEY paid out to purchase them, and they are therefore losing millions, if not billions of dollars, and many of the smaller and medium sized institutions are going under.

Look at the posts.  People get greedy and let themselves get talked into basically using their home as a speculative investment, but when they get screwed, they should not have to bear the responsibility for their actions, just ask jpn, it is the lending industries fault.  Your bank charges outrageous INF fees, you should not be responsible, even though you KNEW what would happen upfront if you go over your balance, it is your banks fault.  Lets not hold people accountable for their actions, lets hold evil, faceless corporations accountable.  OK, but what are corporations?  Why, just groups of people working for some common enterprise. 

You know what, fine, regulate or nationalize whatever the heck you want.  In the mean time I am going to a lender owned auction in a few weeks (that is code for foreclosed on homes) and see if I can't make a killing off the misfortunes of the foolish hardworking Americans who tried to impress their friends by buying way more house than they could afford, and the dumbass fat cat evil corporations who lent them the money to do it and are now loosing their shorts.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: jpn of Seattle on November 05, 2007, 08:12:28 PM
Hmmm, my ears were burning and I didn't know why...

How about a compromise somewhere in the middle? We take reasonable steps to limit predatory lending practices, and we also don't rush to compensate people who make poor choices.

If you're looking for those who refuse to take responsibility for their actions, I think you can find many, many examples in industry. The high and mighty have countless protections from the consequences of their recklessness.

Surely you're not advocating that we should turn a blind eye to misleading or deceptive financial offers, are you? Who is avoiding responsibility now?


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Abraxas on November 05, 2007, 08:20:59 PM
Hmmm, my ears were burning and I didn't know why...

How about a compromise somewhere in the middle? We take reasonable steps to limit predatory lending practices, and we also don't rush to compensate people who make poor choices.

If you're looking for those who refuse to take responsibility for their actions, I think you can find many, many examples in industry. The high and mighty have countless protections from the consequences of their recklessness.

Surely you're not advocating that we should turn a blind eye to misleading or deceptive financial offers, are you? Who is avoiding responsibility now?

Absolutely not. If a company commits a clear violation then they should be punished. Shut down, locks on the door, people layed off kinda punishment, not some slap on the wrist.

If the workers could lose their job you create a system of checks and balances where every member tries to do what's best for them... which also happens to be what's best for the company and its customers.

If you do legitimate buisness, then you should not be penalized, which is why I see NO point in enforcing regulation on companies that don't need it. All it does is restrict exapansion, which damages competition, which creates monopolies and inevitably a controlled, high cost market.

How's that help anyone?

P.S. I applauded you gomper7. Your post was EXCELLENT.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: jpn of Seattle on November 05, 2007, 08:37:08 PM
Oh yes, we live in such a black and white world.

I don't know anyone foolish enough to have taken out an adjustable rate mortgage, because my friends are educated and sophisticated enough to know better.
But there are people out there who are unsophisticated and not so well educated who don't know what an ARM is, but just see the promise of a lower mortgage payment.

So companies take advantage of their ignorance. Knowingly, and deliberately. They prey on people's gullability. They take their profits and then run, secured from any consequences by having set up the rules to shield themselves.

I say we restrict predatory lenders like this to the maximum extent possible. I say we compensate victims of these sharks and thieves.
It's called compassion for the victims and no compassion for the perps.

Funny how some of you get "personal responsibility" all backwards.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Abraxas on November 05, 2007, 08:41:27 PM
So what? We ban ARMs?

Compassion is one thing... but a bail out is QUITE another, and if you want to subtely (and purposely) confuse them, that's your perogative.

An appropriate measure would be to RE-EDUCATE people in house-hold economics, like offering seminars at public schools with Q&As. If people don't show up, it's there loss.

The government should be teaching  responcibility... not enforcing .


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: jpn of Seattle on November 05, 2007, 09:15:40 PM
Right. Compassion is all well and good as long as it doesn't cost the rest of us anything.

Education. That's the answer. We could send everyone back to personal finance, one-oh-one. I'm sure the lending industry would be happy to sponsor it...


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Abraxas on November 05, 2007, 09:21:20 PM
Right. Compassion is all well and good as long as it doesn't cost the rest of us anything.

Education. That's the answer. We could send everyone back to personal finance, one-oh-one. I'm sure the lending industry would be happy to sponsor it...

If it saved us from another HUGE, multi-million dollar federal check, paid for by me, YEAH.

Plus, if a person doesn't want to take part in the seminar and refuses to research, too bad. Their loss. They were given the tools, ignored them, and then got screwed with their pants on.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: jpn of Seattle on November 05, 2007, 09:35:30 PM
Keep talking. The conservatives and Republicans (oops, I'm repeating myself) are digging their own electoral graves with their lack of compassion and lack of insight into a national zeitgeist:

Quote
The national downturn in the housing market has arrived in Loudoun County, a once-largely rural area on the western fringes of Washington [D.C.] that has become one of the fastest-growing regions in the United States. In addition to the economic effect, it's stirring anxiety and discontent that have begun to change the climate in which people consider politics — especially some Republicans.

"I used to consider myself a Republican, but now I consider myself an independent," [Karla] Schroeder said.

The shift is not confined to one county in the mid-Atlantic region. Similar rumblings of discontent can be heard among GOP voters in fast-growing areas across the country that are being hit by the housing crunch, including parts of Florida and Nevada.

....Tom Slade, who helped build the Florida Republican Party and is a former state chairman, knows firsthand the anxieties stirred by the housing downturn, and he thinks the political fallout could be significant.

...."How deep, bad and big this monster will turn out to be is not clear yet, but it has the potential to turn wickedly mean," Slade said. "Who gets the biggest thumping is anyone's guess, but I would guess it would be the Republicans since we've had control of the executive branch."
http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/la-na-exurb6nov06,0,7133503,full.story?coll=la-home-center (http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/la-na-exurb6nov06,0,7133503,full.story?coll=la-home-center)


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: jpn of Seattle on November 05, 2007, 09:47:18 PM
A little more evidence that the public is a little tired of Republicans responding to economic distress with lectures about personal responsibility:

(http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/blogphotos/Blog_Gallup_Party_Prosperity.gif)

Quote
This is the granddaddy of political polling questions not just because it is venerable but because it has earned its keep. If you had to pick only one political indicator as the most fundamental of all, this would be a good choice—because, to a first approximation, the party of prosperity is the default majority party.

The chart begins in 1951, when Harry Truman was president, and it shows how decisively the Depression and New Deal had bestowed "party of prosperity" status on the Democrats. Only occasionally did the Republicans even touch them. The Democrats' prosperity advantage seemed to be their birthright, part of the natural order of things, unlikely to be challenged or changed. Even well into the 1970s, as stagflation set in, few Democrats foresaw the trouble ahead.
source:
http://reason.com/news/show/123321.html (http://reason.com/news/show/123321.html)


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Abraxas on November 05, 2007, 10:05:55 PM
I'm not a Republican... so I fail to see the point. I'm an economic conservative, though... so whatever.

This housing debachle STARTED when people took adjustible rate mortgages and banks kept adjusting the rate (who's surprised yet?). First of all, locking someone into an ARM is not wholly illegal, is it?

Increased awareness, a system of equal competition among lenders and an educated public ARE POSSIBLE and is the ONLY way to prevent future mistakes like this. Otherwise, we'll have ignorant citizens taking loans they can't pay for from disingenious, upstart banks... and we're right back here.

- Create competition.
- Educate the public.
- Punish the irresponcible.

It's really quite simple, actually and will be a HELL of a lot cheaper because we're not punishing buisnesses that would otherwise invest in the US. Why bank here if it's cheaper to do it in, say, Dubai?


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: gomper7 on November 06, 2007, 04:58:53 AM
Oh yes, we live in such a black and white world.

I don't know anyone foolish enough to have taken out an adjustable rate mortgage, because my friends are educated and sophisticated enough to know better.
But there are people out there who are unsophisticated and not so well educated who don't know what an ARM is, but just see the promise of a lower mortgage payment.

So companies take advantage of their ignorance. Knowingly, and deliberately. They prey on people's gullability. They take their profits and then run, secured from any consequences by having set up the rules to shield themselves.

I say we restrict predatory lenders like this to the maximum extent possible. I say we compensate victims of these sharks and thieves.
It's called compassion for the victims and no compassion for the perps.

Funny how some of you get "personal responsibility" all backwards.

jpn,

What in heck are you talking about?

First off, you like to throw accusations of predatory lending around, but you do not even show one example.  Can you demonstrate, much less prove, that these lenders tried to hide the fact that ARM's rates change, adjust, over time?  Can you prove they tried to hide from borrowers that interest only mortgages payments go up significantly when the interest only period ends and the principal payments begin?  There are NOW, already, for a long time, regulations on the books that require lenders to disclose this kind of stuff.  Are you claiming there are folks out there buying 3, 4 and 5 hundred thousand dollar houses who cannot even read a repayment schedule?  Bummer for them.  And if there are lenders who DID violate the existing disclosure rules, I am all for going after them.  Hell, it will likely be win win to throw them in jail, as many are going bankrupt and will need a place to live and three squares a day.

Second, these predatory lenders take advantage of these poor folks, and run with their profits.  Wait a minute, WHAT PROFITS?  These predatory lenders gave these poor, slow witted unsophisticated victims you describe that 3, 4, 5 hundred thousand dollars to buy the house, and before ANY of that principal was paid back in many cases, and very little in others, those victims stopped paying these lenders back.  So they foreclose.  Great, now these predators as you call them, say pay out 350,000 to buy a house for their victim.  Victim pays a year or two of mortgage payments at very low rates, say 20,000 total.  Now, even if you discount overhead and apply ALL of that 20K back against the initial pay 350K payout, these evil predators running with their profits are now 330,000 deep into a house that in the current market is work about 250K.  That is assuming you could get anybody to actually buy it.  Where these profits you keep talking about, and why are such profitable predatory lending companies going belly up?

Lastly, your statement about you and your friends and how educated and sophisticated you are to avoid ARMs.  What an insulting, condescending, arrogant elitist stance.  "I am wonderful mr liberal, I will fight the good fight against your oppressors you poor, stupid, befuddled little bumkins who cannot think for yourselves so I will think for you".  I have to tell you, my impression from your statement is that you and your friends, far from being so sophisticated, do not understand ARMs.  But maybe I am just an unsophisticated bumpkin.  The first mortgage I ever got was an ARM.  It started at under 5%.  I knew very little about mortgages, and I was relatively young.  But I knew enough to check what my potential downside was, and my upside.  My upside was that I had lower initial payments, the downside was that the rate could "adjust" (hence the A in ARM, you really think people except you and your buddies are too stupid to see that?) in my case, the maximum adjustment either way in any one year was 1%, and it could not adjust higher than 10%.  So my biggest possible downside was in a little over 5 years I could be paying a mortgage at 10%.  I knew worse come to worst, I could afford that.  So I took the mortgage, and actually paid the equivalent payment of the loan at 2 or three points higher than it was currently at.  So I built more equity early on in the loan, and then after about 3 years refinanced into a fixed.  Sometimes they make since.  But again, I guess I am not as cool and sophisticated as you and your buddies. 


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Biker Dude on November 06, 2007, 12:19:21 PM
All of the reading I have done on this doesn't point out ARMs as the fault.  Maybe I am missing something here, but it is the lowering of standards to get anybody into a house that lies at the root of the issue.  That and the repackaging of the these subsequent so-called sub-prime loans that hid the real risk. 


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: gomper7 on November 06, 2007, 01:34:36 PM
Biker I think you are correct, the biggest problems have come from the more recent really contortionist type loans like the interest only loans and the loaning people  125% of their appraised value and laxity of income requirement type stuff.  The ARMs are not really the problem, they have been around for decades.  But if you are smart educated and sophisticated, you know that they are bad, very, very bad.  Double plus ungood even. 

You would have to be a fool to consider one of those, in the end it will cost you and ARM and a leg...baddum ching....

 :-[

sorry


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Biker Dude on November 06, 2007, 04:07:51 PM
Had to smite you for that awful joke!

There is whole list of 'interesting' mortgages that led to this.  Somewhere around here I have a copy of 'Fortune' that really goes into a lot of it.  And how it is not just an American issue.  Even if most of the mortgages are American.

I just wasn't sure if you guys were arguing a different point and I had missed it!


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: jpn of Seattle on November 06, 2007, 08:29:41 PM
Gomper wrote:
Quote
jpn,

What in heck are you talking about?

First off, you like to throw accusations of predatory lending around, but you do not even show one example.  Can you demonstrate, much less prove, that these lenders tried to hide the fact that ARM's rates change, adjust, over time? 


PA Firm Fined Nearly $1 Million
A black-owned Philadelphia mortgage broker has been slapped with a hefty penalty for using predatory loans to discriminate against its African American customers.

Subprime Coalition Moves to Reign In Predatory Players
Subprime lenders have formulated a legislative plan they say will increase consumer protection in a larger number of subprime mortgages and push a uniform national anti-predatory standard.

Golden State Brokers Take Steps to Curb Predatory Lending
While California mortgage brokers have agreed on what predatory lending is, a fair lending advocacy group has already voiced opposition to the "first-ever" adopted industry definition. The perspective of the California broker association that formulated the definition, however, is that it is a leap toward ending such a practice.
http://www.mortgagedaily.com/Predatory2004.asp (http://www.mortgagedaily.com/Predatory2004.asp)

Mayor Nickels & Partners Advise Consumers: "Don't Borrow Trouble"
SEATTLE - Elderly, low-income, minority and immigrant consumers are much more likely to have home loans at excessive interest rates, and these groups are often victims of predatory lending practices, Mayor Greg Nickels said today.
Marking National Housing Month in April, Nickels, King County Executive Ron Sims, home mortgage investor Freddie Mac and other community partners launched the "Don't Borrow Trouble" campaign. The effort targets abusive and fraudulent home mortgage lending practices in the greater Seattle area.
http://www.seattle.gov/housing/predatorylending/news071703.htm (http://www.seattle.gov/housing/predatorylending/news071703.htm)

Subprime Loan Sharks
by Shane Romig for Credit.com
Avoiding Predatory Mortgage Lending in Home Purchase or Refinancing
Just a few years ago, it was difficult for many people with imperfect credit to receive loans to purchase a home. However, the explosion of a subprime lending market with its higher-priced loans has suddenly made the dream of borrowing in order to buy a home a reality for many individuals. Along with this increased access to credit has come a wave of aggressive, predatory lending schemes that take advantage of less sophisticated borrowers by charging excessive fees and interest.
The Center for Responsible Lending estimates that predatory mortgage loans alone cost home owners $9.1 billion each year.
http://www.credit.com/credit_information/mortgages/Subprime-Loan-Sharks.jsp (http://www.credit.com/credit_information/mortgages/Subprime-Loan-Sharks.jsp)

Gomper wrote:
Quote
Lastly, your statement about you and your friends and how educated and sophisticated you are to avoid ARMs.  What an insulting, condescending, arrogant elitist stance.
Apparently, compared to you and your ignorance of the very existence of these lenders, I'm a regular Alfred Einstein. You've certainly posted nothing to disabuse me of my "stance."


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Biker Dude on November 06, 2007, 08:33:25 PM
I think everybody can agree that predatory lending happens.  But was it the cause of the latest credit collapse?  I don't think so.  Even your one link you provided is from 2004.  Most analysts that I have read have indicated that the rpid increase in the habit of sub-prime loans was after this.  And they are what led to this latest issue.  Unless I am completely missing your point...


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: jpn of Seattle on November 06, 2007, 08:36:56 PM
I think everybody can agree that predatory lending happens. 

Oh.

You must have missed Gomper's post.

Here it is again:

Quote
JPN

What in heck are you talking about?

First off, you like to throw accusations of predatory lending around, but you do not even show one example.  Can you demonstrate, much less prove, that these lenders tried to hide the fact that ARM's rates change, adjust, over time?  Can you prove they tried to hide from borrowers that interest only mortgages payments go up significantly when the interest only period ends and the principal payments begin?  There are NOW, already, for a long time, regulations on the books that require lenders to disclose this kind of stuff.  Are you claiming there are folks out there buying 3, 4 and 5 hundred thousand dollar houses who cannot even read a repayment schedule?  Bummer for them.  And if there are lenders who DID violate the existing disclosure rules, I am all for going after them.  Hell, it will likely be win win to throw them in jail, as many are going bankrupt and will need a place to live and three squares a day.

Second, these predatory lenders take advantage of these poor folks, and run with their profits.  Wait a minute, WHAT PROFITS?  These predatory lenders gave these poor, slow witted unsophisticated victims you describe that 3, 4, 5 hundred thousand dollars to buy the house, and before ANY of that principal was paid back in many cases, and very little in others, those victims stopped paying these lenders back.  So they foreclose.  Great, now these predators as you call them, say pay out 350,000 to buy a house for their victim.  Victim pays a year or two of mortgage payments at very low rates, say 20,000 total.  Now, even if you discount overhead and apply ALL of that 20K back against the initial pay 350K payout, these evil predators running with their profits are now 330,000 deep into a house that in the current market is work about 250K.  That is assuming you could get anybody to actually buy it.  Where these profits you keep talking about, and why are such profitable predatory lending companies going belly up?

Lastly, your statement about you and your friends and how educated and sophisticated you are to avoid ARMs.  What an insulting, condescending, arrogant elitist stance.  "I am wonderful mr liberal, I will fight the good fight against your oppressors you poor, stupid, befuddled little bumkins who cannot think for yourselves so I will think for you".  I have to tell you, my impression from your statement is that you and your friends, far from being so sophisticated, do not understand ARMs.  But maybe I am just an unsophisticated bumpkin.  The first mortgage I ever got was an ARM.  It started at under 5%.  I knew very little about mortgages, and I was relatively young.  But I knew enough to check what my potential downside was, and my upside.  My upside was that I had lower initial payments, the downside was that the rate could "adjust" (hence the A in ARM, you really think people except you and your buddies are too stupid to see that?) in my case, the maximum adjustment either way in any one year was 1%, and it could not adjust higher than 10%.  So my biggest possible downside was in a little over 5 years I could be paying a mortgage at 10%.  I knew worse come to worst, I could afford that.  So I took the mortgage, and actually paid the equivalent payment of the loan at 2 or three points higher than it was currently at.  So I built more equity early on in the loan, and then after about 3 years refinanced into a fixed.  Sometimes they make since.  But again, I guess I am not as cool and sophisticated as you and your buddies. 


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: jpn of Seattle on November 06, 2007, 08:41:18 PM
double


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: jpn of Seattle on November 06, 2007, 08:44:10 PM
I think everybody can agree that predatory lending happens.

Biker. You aren't paying attention.

Gomper thinks predatory lending is all a figment of my fevered imagination.

Quote
jpn,

What in heck are you talking about?

First off, you like to throw accusations of predatory lending around, but you do not even show one example.  Can you demonstrate, much less prove, that these lenders tried to hide the fact that ARM's rates change, adjust, over time?  Can you prove they tried to hide from borrowers that interest only mortgages payments go up significantly when the interest only period ends and the principal payments begin?  There are NOW, already, for a long time, regulations on the books that require lenders to disclose this kind of stuff.  Are you claiming there are folks out there buying 3, 4 and 5 hundred thousand dollar houses who cannot even read a repayment schedule?  Bummer for them.  And if there are lenders who DID violate the existing disclosure rules, I am all for going after them.  Hell, it will likely be win win to throw them in jail, as many are going bankrupt and will need a place to live and three squares a day.

Second, these predatory lenders take advantage of these poor folks, and run with their profits.  Wait a minute, WHAT PROFITS?  These predatory lenders gave these poor, slow witted unsophisticated victims you describe that 3, 4, 5 hundred thousand dollars to buy the house, and before ANY of that principal was paid back in many cases, and very little in others, those victims stopped paying these lenders back.  So they foreclose.  Great, now these predators as you call them, say pay out 350,000 to buy a house for their victim.  Victim pays a year or two of mortgage payments at very low rates, say 20,000 total.  Now, even if you discount overhead and apply ALL of that 20K back against the initial pay 350K payout, these evil predators running with their profits are now 330,000 deep into a house that in the current market is work about 250K.  That is assuming you could get anybody to actually buy it.  Where these profits you keep talking about, and why are such profitable predatory lending companies going belly up?

Lastly, your statement about you and your friends and how educated and sophisticated you are to avoid ARMs.  What an insulting, condescending, arrogant elitist stance.  "I am wonderful mr liberal, I will fight the good fight against your oppressors you poor, stupid, befuddled little bumkins who cannot think for yourselves so I will think for you".  I have to tell you, my impression from your statement is that you and your friends, far from being so sophisticated, do not understand ARMs.  But maybe I am just an unsophisticated bumpkin.  The first mortgage I ever got was an ARM.  It started at under 5%.  I knew very little about mortgages, and I was relatively young.  But I knew enough to check what my potential downside was, and my upside.  My upside was that I had lower initial payments, the downside was that the rate could "adjust" (hence the A in ARM, you really think people except you and your buddies are too stupid to see that?) in my case, the maximum adjustment either way in any one year was 1%, and it could not adjust higher than 10%.  So my biggest possible downside was in a little over 5 years I could be paying a mortgage at 10%.  I knew worse come to worst, I could afford that.  So I took the mortgage, and actually paid the equivalent payment of the loan at 2 or three points higher than it was currently at.  So I built more equity early on in the loan, and then after about 3 years refinanced into a fixed.  Sometimes they make since.  But again, I guess I am not as cool and sophisticated as you and your buddies. 


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Biker Dude on November 06, 2007, 08:57:33 PM
What I got from his posts was that he didn't necessarily believe that selling ARM's qualified as predatory.  That, and that buyers should beware.  Meaning informed. 


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: jpn of Seattle on November 06, 2007, 09:07:13 PM
What I got from his posts was that he didn't necessarily believe that selling ARM's qualified as predatory.  That, and that buyers should beware.  Meaning informed. 

Yeah, they should be informed. But as Gompers himself proves, people often are not.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: gomper7 on November 07, 2007, 02:53:20 AM
What I got from his posts was that he didn't necessarily believe that selling ARM's qualified as predatory.  That, and that buyers should beware.  Meaning informed. 

Yeah, they should be informed. But as Gompers himself proves, people often are not.

Biker is of course correct, we all can agree there ARE predatory and unscupulous lenders out there who should be punished.  I never said otherwise.  What I belive is just a figment of your fevered imagination is that the predatory lenders are what caused the current crisses in the mortgage industry.  That and this silly idea you seem to have that all ARMs are an example of predatory lending.  I hope I am actually uninformed and mistaken about that, and that you do not actually believe that ALL ARM's are predatory practices that should be regulated out of existence.  Because otherwise, your last statement is correct, and I have proven that people are often not informed, although in such a case I would simply state that it was never my intent to prove you so woefully uninformed, it just sort of worked out that way.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Biker Dude on November 07, 2007, 05:27:03 AM
Biker is of course correct, we all can agree there ARE predatory and unscupulous lenders out there who should be punished.  I never said otherwise.  What I belive is just a figment of your fevered imagination is that the predatory lenders are what caused the current crisses in the mortgage industry.  That and this silly idea you seem to have that all ARMs are an example of predatory lending.  I hope I am actually uninformed and mistaken about that, and that you do not actually believe that ALL ARM's are predatory practices that should be regulated out of existence.  Because otherwise, your last statement is correct, and I have proven that people are often not informed, although in such a case I would simply state that it was never my intent to prove you so woefully uninformed, it just sort of worked out that way.
See?  Now THAT is what I got from his posts.  Almost verbatim what I would have said.  And I don't think it is that difficult to suss out.  Are you trying to be obtuse jpn?


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: jpn of Seattle on November 08, 2007, 08:42:28 PM
Quote from: gomper7
Biker is of course correct, we all can agree there ARE predatory and unscupulous lenders out there who should be punished.  I never said otherwise.  What I belive is just a figment of your fevered imagination is that the predatory lenders are what caused the current crisses in the mortgage industry.
So Gomper, you agree that there are predatory lenders, but you are claiming that they didn't have anything to do with the current crisis in the mortgage industry. So they are irrelevant to this discussion.
Is that right?

Quote from: gomper7
That and this silly idea you seem to have that all ARMs are an example of predatory lending.  I hope I am actually uninformed and mistaken about that, and that you do not actually believe that ALL ARM's are predatory practices that should be regulated out of existence.  Because otherwise, your last statement is correct, and I have proven that people are often not informed, although in such a case I would simply state that it was never my intent to prove you so woefully uninformed, it just sort of worked out that way.
No, not all ARMs are predatory practices. As long as the lender makes the terms of the loan clear, then they aren't necessarily nefarious. But for those who do engage in predatory loan practices, the ARM is one of their favorite and most lucrative vehicles.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Biker Dude on November 08, 2007, 09:59:03 PM
Didn't have ANYTHING to do with it?  Oh I am sure they are in there.  I think far more to blame are the mortgage lender that wrote tons of loans to people with shady credit.  100% loans.  Then I would look at the people packaging up these mortgages to sell to investment bankers.  Then I would look at the rating companies that somehow decided these packages should be rated AAA.  I would lay blame in all those places before I went after a mortgage lender selling ARM's.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: jpn of Seattle on November 08, 2007, 10:14:31 PM
Okay, so we've gone from:

"First off, you like to throw accusations of predatory lending around, but you do not even show one example"

to,

"Biker is of course correct, we all can agree there ARE predatory and unscupulous lenders out there who should be punished.  I never said otherwise.  What I belive is just a figment of your fevered imagination is that the predatory lenders are what caused the current crisses in the mortgage industry."

to,

"Didn't have ANYTHING to do with it?  Oh I am sure they are in there."

It's been quite a journey.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: Biker Dude on November 08, 2007, 10:18:18 PM
Okay, so we've gone from:

"First off, you like to throw accusations of predatory lending around, but you do not even show one example"

to,

"Biker is of course correct, we all can agree there ARE predatory and unscupulous lenders out there who should be punished.  I never said otherwise.  What I belive is just a figment of your fevered imagination is that the predatory lenders are what caused the current crisses in the mortgage industry."

to,

"Didn't have ANYTHING to do with it?  Oh I am sure they are in there."

It's been quite a journey.
If you care about honesty, you and I both know that the last one was mine.  And we both know I did not say the first one.  So your little 'journey timeline' is a little skewed by dishonesty. 


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: gomper7 on November 08, 2007, 11:23:47 PM
Drama much?

jpn, I simply did not let you get away with sweeping generalizations about predatory lending without a single link, that is what I meant by my first challenge.  Of course, you dramatacized that into "gomper thinks predatory lending is just a figment..." you know the rest, you wrote it.   And then you provided links to some stories about predatory lending.  Thanks by the way.  Of course, from what I read, your links do not tend to indicate that it was these instances of predatory lending that caused the current mortgage crisis.  So I said, of course there exists predatory lending, but I do not believe it caused the current crises.  Once again, you dramatize that into  "oh, so you think they had nothing to do with the crisis".  I say "did not cause", you interpret as "have nothing to do with".  Of course there are predators in the mortgage industry, as with any industry, and I have no doubt there are many loans that could be considered predatory in the ever growing list of foreclosures.  I also believe, however, that even if you removed loans that I would consider predatory, you would still be seeing this vast increase in foreclosures.  People simply borrowed more than they could afford hoping the house values would continue to rise which did not happen.

And, you are correct, this has been quite a journey, but I have faith that if you will drop the dramatics and apply some logic, you may still catch up with those of us in reality.

I would agree with your assessment that any loan in which the lender does not upfront provide the repayment terms to the borrower would be predatory.  Here is where I disagree with your original post however:  There are already prosecutable regulations against this sort of practice, and I do not believe that the predatory loans caused the current crises (ie, take them out of the equation and you still have a crisis).  So, I disagree that the current crisis and the predatory loans are automatic proof we need more regulation. 


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: jpn of Seattle on November 09, 2007, 09:50:23 PM
zzzzzzzzzzz  :sleepy:


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: gomper7 on November 09, 2007, 10:09:38 PM
Oh,
you have been sleeping through this whole thing.  Well, that would explain why your rants here have been irrational and off point.
Now I get it.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: 5uperChicken on November 10, 2007, 05:02:17 AM
Regulation???
You realize, there are private accreditation services that will help you not look like an idiot at some point down the road...Regulation??? I thought you people were pro-choice....wise-up & get with the program.


Title: Re: Another Case Study in Why Regulation is Necessary
Post by: jpn of Seattle on November 10, 2007, 01:09:18 PM