IAP Political Forum
August 29, 2008, 11:43:06 AM *
Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?

Login with username, password and session length
News: Default theme has been changed, and everyone reset due to some problems with posts disappearing after submitting.
 
   Home   Blog Forum   Help Search Chat Login Register  
Digg This!
Pages: [1] 2   Go Down
  Print  
Author Topic: Accounting for things  (Read 582 times)
daedalus 2.0
Hero Member
*****

Karma: +68/-397
Posts: 1,145



View Profile
« on: January 11, 2008, 10:47:40 AM »

I have editted out much of Cal's original post, but there is one aspect I'll preserve.

Quote
Just as the way demands for explanation explicitly or implicitly indicate the interests of the questioner, so the definition of what counts as an explanation will vary with the questioner’s and answerer’s background, interests and assumptions.   (Ask a chess grandmaster to explain why he made a particular move and unless you are a good player, you will not feel that the move has been accounted for).   So, to try to reduce that variation we find in our discussions here, and to get some common criteria for evaluating our contributions to ‘explanations’ or ‘accounting for things’, here’s something I found in the IAP1 archive….

Quote
……What characteristics make an explanation 'good'? Here's a list from Peter Carruthers - maybe you can think of more:

Accuracy - predicting all or most of the data to be explained and explaining away the rest - i.e. showing where there may be errors of data collection or interpretation.

Consistency - that there are no contradictions within the theory or model.

Coherence - with surrounding beliefs and theories which are not to be superseded by the new, or at least consistency with them.

Simplicity - being expressible as economically as possible, with the fewest commitments to distinct kinds of fact and process.

Fecundity - making new predictions and suggesting new lines of enquiry.

Scope - unifying a diverse range of data.


I would say that this list is a great start for accounting for things you believe, and for things you believe and intend on convincing someone of the value of your beliefs. That is, an explanation must include these aspects in order to be a "good" explanation.

Silver asked if people could add any more to the list. I will ask if someone feels that they would REMOVE something from the list, and WHY?


This certainly shouldn't be a controversial topic. It is just talking about how we explain something to each other and how we recognize good data: How we make sure Garbage isn't going in or coming out.
« Last Edit: January 11, 2008, 10:52:40 AM by daedalus 2.0 » Logged

\\\\"SUCK IT, JESUS!\\\\" Kathy Griffin
\"Hitler burns Anne Frank for a day, and it\'s Evil.
God burns Anne Frank for eternity, and it\'s Just.\"Anon
Callum
Sr. Member
****

Karma: +48/-164
Posts: 438


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: January 11, 2008, 02:50:40 PM »

I have editted out much of Cal's original post, but there is one aspect I'll preserve.

Quote
Just as the way demands for explanation explicitly or implicitly indicate the interests of the questioner, so the definition of what counts as an explanation will vary with the questioner’s and answerer’s background, interests and assumptions.   (Ask a chess grandmaster to explain why he made a particular move and unless you are a good player, you will not feel that the move has been accounted for).   So, to try to reduce that variation we find in our discussions here, and to get some common criteria for evaluating our contributions to ‘explanations’ or ‘accounting for things’, here’s something I found in the IAP1 archive….

Quote
……What characteristics make an explanation 'good'? Here's a list from Peter Carruthers - maybe you can think of more:

Accuracy - predicting all or most of the data to be explained and explaining away the rest - i.e. showing where there may be errors of data collection or interpretation.

Consistency - that there are no contradictions within the theory or model.

Coherence - with surrounding beliefs and theories which are not to be superseded by the new, or at least consistency with them.

Simplicity - being expressible as economically as possible, with the fewest commitments to distinct kinds of fact and process.

Fecundity - making new predictions and suggesting new lines of enquiry.

Scope - unifying a diverse range of data.


I would say that this list is a great start for accounting for things you believe, and for things you believe and intend on convincing someone of the value of your beliefs. That is, an explanation must include these aspects in order to be a "good" explanation.

Silver asked if people could add any more to the list. I will ask if someone feels that they would REMOVE something from the list, and WHY?


This certainly shouldn't be a controversial topic. It is just talking about how we explain something to each other and how we recognize good data: How we make sure Garbage isn't going in or coming out.

I won't remove.  What I will do is to qualify.  'Simplicity' needs careful usage.  The basic theist tenet is 'god did it'.  To explain the weather, for example. needs one hell of a lot MORE commitments to processes than the Great Unknown.   All the criteria need to be taken together as a whole.  Which is why I aked if anyone could add any - a missing criterion would collapse the whole busness, a redundant one as barney requests could be accomodated.

'Fecundity' will of course diminish if the view of scientific realism is correct. As we approximate closer and closer to the truth (i.e. when our staements about how the world works become more and more in line with actuality) then the scope for new enquiry will decrease.  I would guess that we are currently NOT in such a position.  (Note to idiot-theists - not YOU, of course - within my discipline it is acceptable NOT to claim absolute and complete knowledge.  If you feel this is worth arguing, first explain why you feel you DO have complete and absolute knowledge)
Logged
Callum
Sr. Member
****

Karma: +48/-164
Posts: 438


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: January 14, 2008, 02:02:49 PM »

Really just bumping.


Still waiting for RF to respond - or indeed, better, someone who could actually discuss this with care, precision and without actually shooting straight past it into unformed prejudiced rhetoric.
Logged
Patton
Global Moderator
Hero Member
*****

Karma: +97/-126
Posts: 1,536


NObama '08


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: January 17, 2008, 07:48:40 AM »

From the other thread........

Why am I not surprised.....Professor Carruthers "characteristics" sound like a spin on the principles of the scientific method....the cornerstone of the materialists world view.

Accuracy=Using statistical analysis of data

Consistency=Repeatability

Coherence=Use of existing scientific laws or principles

Simplicity=Principle of Parsimony

Fecundity=Hypothesis


Logged

“Over the last 15 months, we’ve traveled to every corner of the United States. I’ve now been in 57 states? I think one left to go.”

No 2nd Pelosi/Reid/Obama Congress
Callum
Sr. Member
****

Karma: +48/-164
Posts: 438


View Profile
« Reply #4 on: January 17, 2008, 10:01:03 AM »

From the other thread........

Why am I not surprised.....Professor Carruthers "characteristics" sound like a spin on the principles of the scientific method....the cornerstone of the materialists world view.


Thank you for coming over.   Could I just point out that

"Accuracy=Using statistical analysis of data"  does not say anything like the same thing as the thumbnail given.
and
"Consistency=Repeatability"  is in no way the same as "Consistency - that there are no contradictions within the theory or model"?   
and
"Coherence=Use of existing scientific laws or principles"  doesn't say, isn't the same as, etc etc.

That you should decide that its all a materilaist plot is also unsurprising.  That seems to be the reaction of most commited theists whenever they are confronted with ANY attempt to examine and clarify how we come to beliefs.   However, here is your huge chance... instead of simply sticking your head in the sand and denying anything of worth here, just add the missing criteria that we should use when evaluating any theory of anything.   What additional criteria did you use to decide that abiogenesis and 'theogenesis' are "equal"?   How do we decide that tectonic plate theory is actually a better theory than 'young Earth'  (sorry, assuming you do, if not why the vice versa)?   

And if a theory 'sounds like a spin on' something else... well, perhaps you can show where it is deficient, misleading, or whatever.  Its strange that if someone uses a word we don't understand, we have no problems with asking for what he menas.  If someone thinks in a different way, its taboo to ask him to explain his thought processes.
« Last Edit: January 17, 2008, 10:08:27 AM by Callum » Logged
Patton
Global Moderator
Hero Member
*****

Karma: +97/-126
Posts: 1,536


NObama '08


View Profile
« Reply #5 on: January 17, 2008, 03:27:09 PM »

Could I just point out that:
"Accuracy=Using statistical analysis of data"  does not say anything like the same thing as the thumbnail given.

Doesn't a statistical analysis of data "show where there may be errors of data collection or interpretation?"

If not....what tool in evaluating data would demonstrate this?

Quote
"Consistency=Repeatability"  is in no way the same as "Consistency - that there are no contradictions within the theory or model"?

Would an experiment be repeatable if there are contradictions within a theory or model?

Can you demonstrate this?

Quote
"Coherence=Use of existing scientific laws or principles"  doesn't say, isn't the same as, etc etc.

.....with surrounding beliefs and theories which are not to be superseded by the new, or at least
consistency with them.


Within the realm of science...."beliefs and theories" can be scientific laws, ie Boyles Law....hypothesis based on scientific laws would require the experiment be at the very least, congruent/consistent with scientific law....

I'm sorry you can't see the spin.....however....I can.

Quote
That you should decide that its all a materilaist plot is also unsurprising.  That seems to be the reaction of most commited theists whenever they are confronted with ANY attempt to examine and clarify how we come to beliefs.

Strange coming from a non-theist/materialist who cannot or will not attempt to give credence to faith or spirituality when confronted from those who have used them both for basis of their beliefs.  

Quote
However, here is your huge chance... instead of simply sticking your head in the sand and denying anything of worth here, just add the missing criteria that we should use when evaluating any theory of anything.   What additional criteria did you use to decide that abiogenesis and 'theogenesis' are "equal"?

One does not need "additional criteria" in proving abiogenesis does not come from material mechanisms....science has already demonstrated it cannot be done.....and in it's typical caveat of keeping the door open for eternity....they keep trying and failing, and they call it a "hypothesis"....which is quite convenient for them.  

Quote
And if a theory 'sounds like a spin on' something else... well, perhaps you can show where it is deficient, misleading, or whatever.  Its strange that if someone uses a word we don't understand, we have no problems with asking for what he menas.  If someone thinks in a different way, its taboo to ask him to explain his thought processes.

It is only misleading when one attempts to use it as the primary criteria to "account for things"....including those that deal with matters of faith.
Logged

“Over the last 15 months, we’ve traveled to every corner of the United States. I’ve now been in 57 states? I think one left to go.”

No 2nd Pelosi/Reid/Obama Congress
Reasoned Faith
Hero Member
*****

Karma: +146/-165
Posts: 893


View Profile
« Reply #6 on: January 18, 2008, 07:24:45 AM »

I generally agree with Patton when he implies that the list is somewhat incomplete.  It seems good when one wishes to explain observations in the present but incomplete when one is interested in historical events.
Logged
Callum
Sr. Member
****

Karma: +48/-164
Posts: 438


View Profile
« Reply #7 on: January 18, 2008, 11:33:02 AM »

Could I just point out that:
"Accuracy=Using statistical analysis of data"  does not say anything like the same thing as the thumbnail given.

Doesn't a statistical analysis of data "show where there may be errors of data collection or interpretation?"

If not....what tool in evaluating data would demonstrate this?

The full thumbnail says 'predicting the phenomena to be explained' - i.e the theory should cover all observations - AND if there is a shortfall, explaining why there is a shortfall.  If you wish to use such tools as statistical analysis that is one set of tools, another mat be examining the reliablity of the observing apparatus or of reporting methods, of testimony, of bias in seeting up the experiments etc. 

Quote
Quote
"Consistency=Repeatability"  is in no way the same as "Consistency - that there are no contradictions within the theory or model"?

Would an experiment be repeatable if there are contradictions within a theory or model?

Can you demonstrate this?

It probably wouldn't be repeatable, but that is no certainty.  Whatever errors of consistency led to the initial formulation of the theory as it stands could quite possibly be repeated.  That is what review and evaluation is all about, that people can examine looking for inconstencies. 

Quote
"Coherence=Use of existing scientific laws or principles"  doesn't say, isn't the same as, etc etc.

.....with surrounding beliefs and theories which are not to be superseded by the new, or at least
consistency with them.


Within the realm of science...."beliefs and theories" can be scientific laws, ie Boyles Law....hypothesis based on scientific laws would require the experiment be at the very least, congruent/consistent with scientific law....   

I'm sorry you can't see the spin.....however....I can.[/quote]

And in theistic circles they can involve the Book, medieval cholastics, the accumulated weight of Apologetics etc.  I'm sorry you need to see spin in a neutral topic.  But since you offer no alternative ways of evaluating competing arguments...  back to blustering.

Quote
That you should decide that its all a materilaist plot is also unsurprising.  That seems to be the reaction of most commited theists whenever they are confronted with ANY attempt to examine and clarify how we come to beliefs.

Strange coming from a non-theist/materialist who cannot or will not attempt to give credence to faith or spirituality when confronted from those who have used them both for basis of their beliefs.  [/quote]

Please excuse me if I start to get frustrated here.  I am asking for how you avaluate competing theories.  You snort and sniff and deride an attempt to work out what the principles should be, yet fail signally to suggest ANY that are or could be extensions or replacements to the criteria listed.  These criteria are quite general, though you cannot accpet them because they can be applied to scientific explanation.  So TELL US WHAT CRITERIA YOU WANT TO USE... or simply accept that you have no idea or justification for your beliefs.

Quote
However, here is your huge chance... instead of simply sticking your head in the sand and denying anything of worth here, just add the missing criteria that we should use when evaluating any theory of anything.   What additional criteria did you use to decide that abiogenesis and 'theogenesis' are "equal"?

One does not need "additional criteria" in proving abiogenesis does not come from material mechanisms....science has already demonstrated it cannot be done.....and in it's typical caveat of keeping the door open for eternity....they keep trying and failing, and they call it a "hypothesis"....which is quite convenient for them.  [/quote]

I am not asking for proofs.  Since proofs are not available for the 'big questions'.  I am asking how should we evaluate one theory against another (this is thenineteenth time I have said this).

Quote
And if a theory 'sounds like a spin on' something else... well, perhaps you can show where it is deficient, misleading, or whatever.  Its strange that if someone uses a word we don't understand, we have no problems with asking for what he menas.  If someone thinks in a different way, its taboo to ask him to explain his thought processes.

It is only misleading when one attempts to use it as the primary criteria to "account for things"....including those that deal with matters of faith.
[/quote]

So if the list is misleading (where we ask you to explain why one theory is better than another) because one of the theories is 'a matter of faith',  what criteria should we be using to evaluate the relative standing of the two theories??

So far you have signally failed to even approach an answer to the question.  EVEN IF one were to accept your distaste for the criteria suggested, you have not proposed anything yourself, nor (dare I say it) explained WHY there should be other (unspecified) standards that should apply to 'matters of faith'.    In your rush to tie proposals to a materialistic viewpoint, you are only exposing your own shortcomings, not necessarily those of the list of criteria.

Logged
Callum
Sr. Member
****

Karma: +48/-164
Posts: 438


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: January 18, 2008, 11:33:48 AM »

I generally agree with Patton when he implies that the list is somewhat incomplete.  It seems good when one wishes to explain observations in the present but incomplete when one is interested in historical events.

Waiting for your suggestions.
Logged
Reasoned Faith
Hero Member
*****

Karma: +146/-165
Posts: 893


View Profile
« Reply #9 on: January 19, 2008, 06:39:33 AM »

I generally agree with Patton when he implies that the list is somewhat incomplete.  It seems good when one wishes to explain observations in the present but incomplete when one is interested in historical events.

Waiting for your suggestions.

An explanation by causal history is a good way to account for things.  If one wishes to explain how man got to the moon for example citing cause and effect is far superior to citing natural laws or accounting for data etc.

Eye Witness testimony is also good.

Corroboration is another.

Consistency with observation of how the world works is yet another.
Logged
Callum
Sr. Member
****

Karma: +48/-164
Posts: 438


View Profile
« Reply #10 on: January 19, 2008, 09:22:17 AM »

Eye Witness testimony is also good.

Corroboration is another.

Consistency with observation of how the world works is yet another.

As I mentioned to Patton, the Accuracy criterion covers such things as testimony - since the criterion concerns itself with matching the theory to what has been observed and whether the observations are reliable.   Corroboration may fall under this head - an observation may have been made by two independent methods thus ensuring that the theory strtas from a sound basis of data - or it may fall under the Coherence heading, where the theory and its associated data are not in conflict with any other theory (the exemption being the case where the theory is revolutionary).   Both these and I suggest your third are all of a piece.

I don't think there's anything new there.   The problem of course comes when very different theories are to be co-evaluated, and different supporting arguments are to be used (when the weightings of each element may be vastly different in the two domains)
Logged
Patton
Global Moderator
Hero Member
*****

Karma: +97/-126
Posts: 1,536


NObama '08


View Profile
« Reply #11 on: January 20, 2008, 04:15:36 AM »

You have still not explained how this is all not "spin" or "tweaking" on the scientific method.....you seem to want to argue finer details of the difference....maybe it might help if you step back and think in generalities....that may help you see the "spin"/"tweak"........

The full thumbnail says 'predicting the phenomena to be explained' - i.e the theory should cover all observations - AND if there is a shortfall, explaining why there is a shortfall.

The scientific method allows for this, no?

Quote
It probably wouldn't be repeatable, but that is no certainty.  Whatever errors of consistency led to the initial formulation of the theory as it stands could quite possibly be repeated.  That is what review and evaluation is all about, that people can examine looking for inconstencies.

A process the scientific method incorporates, no? 

Quote
Please excuse me if I start to get frustrated here.......So TELL US WHAT CRITERIA YOU WANT TO USE... or simply accept that you have no idea or justification for your beliefs.

I tell you what....I don't want you to get as frustrated as me, so....until you can tell me how your little "materialist trump card" on assessing theories accounts for things like Kate Adamson and Zack Dunlap....I will just wait until you materialists come up with something better than "Gee wiz....I dunno"

In 30 years of healthcare, I've seen this type thing repeated....materialism, science, logic and reason declares someone dead....using the scientific method and your little spin cycle on it....and guess what...it fails.

There are some things that fall outside your tight little view on the world and until you can account for those things....don't mind if I just sit back and giggle like I do when my 4-year old thinks she has figured out everything too.

And next time, spare me your self-rightous indignation.

And like you seem to think you had me over a barrel, I shoot it right back to you...."here is your huge chance"

Quote
I am not asking for proofs.  Since proofs are not available for the 'big questions'.  I am asking how should we evaluate one theory against another (this is thenineteenth time I have said this).

What theories apply to Kate and Zack?

Go ahead and evaluate them.

Until you have something better than "Gee wiz, I don't know.....materialism, science, logic, and reasoning have NO answers......" I'll consider the case closed....

Heaven forbid you become "frustrated"

Quote
I'm sorry you need to see spin in a neutral topic.  But since you offer no alternative ways of evaluating competing arguments...  back to blustering.

If it's so "neutral".....then I'm sure you have a perfectly good explanation that experts in the field cannot offer.

Try not to "bluster" while you scratch for an answer.
« Last Edit: January 20, 2008, 04:21:37 AM by Patton » Logged

“Over the last 15 months, we’ve traveled to every corner of the United States. I’ve now been in 57 states? I think one left to go.”

No 2nd Pelosi/Reid/Obama Congress
Callum
Sr. Member
****

Karma: +48/-164
Posts: 438


View Profile
« Reply #12 on: January 20, 2008, 05:00:11 AM »

You have still not explained how this is all not "spin" or "tweaking" on the scientific method.....you seem to want to argue finer details of the difference....maybe it might help if you step back and think in generalities....that may help you see the "spin"/"tweak"........

Honestly, Patton, I think it hilarious that you use a phrase like "step back and think in generalities".   That is precisely what this topic is all about.  It is about hat the generalised 'rules' or methods are for deciding what theory, idea, description etc is better than anothr, IN ANY APPLICATION.   Scientific method is just one application of an evaluation process - not surprisingly it therefore displays many of the hallmarks of the generalised approach.

A rough analogy to your blindness as to what this thread is doing would be a medecine man refusing to talk about chemical processes since 'they are used in western medecine'.

You want to continue to talk about the Dunlap case?  I gave you a few conjectures - I admitted they were just that.  Which explanationshould we accept?  Rationally?  Well, I suggest that you offer your explanation (of course, it won't be a 'gee wizz, it was something we don't know', because you seem to think that admitting a lack of knowledge is in some way shameful - so lets have your crystal explanation).  Then we can see which seems the better conjecture.  Thats not a proof, just a working theory. 

Quote
Quote
I'm sorry you need to see spin in a neutral topic.  But since you offer no alternative ways of evaluating competing arguments...  back to blustering.[/quote

If it's so "neutral".....then I'm sure you have a perfectly good explanation that experts in the field cannot offer.

I think this is a perfect example of your confusion.   Before approaching any question, I am asking 'how should we approach ANY question?'   You seem to think this means we should dive into YOUR question with all guns blazing, ignoring any attempt to describe just how thought processes wor, how we acquire knowledge, by what methods we come to accept things as true, false or yet to be known....

You ask for 'a perfectly good explanation'.  This thread is trying to establish just what makes ANY explanation 'perfectly good'.     You are arguing the wrong topic.
Logged
Patton
Global Moderator
Hero Member
*****

Karma: +97/-126
Posts: 1,536


NObama '08


View Profile
« Reply #13 on: January 20, 2008, 05:08:55 AM »

"This thread is trying to establish just what makes ANY explanation 'perfectly good" would depend on the question.

What all encompassing model accounts for the question "What happened to Kate and Zack?"
Logged

“Over the last 15 months, we’ve traveled to every corner of the United States. I’ve now been in 57 states? I think one left to go.”

No 2nd Pelosi/Reid/Obama Congress
Callum
Sr. Member
****

Karma: +48/-164
Posts: 438


View Profile
« Reply #14 on: January 20, 2008, 05:20:43 AM »

"This thread is trying to establish just what makes ANY explanation 'perfectly good" would depend on the question.

What all encompassing model accounts for the question "What happened to Kate and Zack?"

Not asking for models.  Asking for HOW SHOULD WE EXAMINE ANY MODEL TO SEE IF IT IS A GOOD ONE?   What would you want to see in such a model that accounts for your question?   Why should your question be different in this respect from any other question?  What facets of the question make it call for different ways of judging the answer?
Logged
Pages: [1] 2   Go Up
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.4 | SMF © 2006-2007, Simple Machines LLC
Joomla Bridge by JoomlaHacks.com
Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!
Page created in 0.12 seconds with 24 queries.