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Author Topic: Accounting for things  (Read 760 times)
Patton
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« Reply #15 on: January 20, 2008, 05:26:12 AM »

What would you want to see in such a model that accounts for your question?

How to account for questions unanswered with the scienticic method, materialism, logic and reasoning.

Perhaps you have an idea?
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Callum
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« Reply #16 on: January 20, 2008, 08:18:12 AM »

What would you want to see in such a model that accounts for your question?

How to account for questions unanswered with the scienticic method, materialism, logic and reasoning.

Perhaps you have an idea?

Patton, the question is  "what does it mean, what is implied by, the phrase 'to account for something'?   In this context your persistent repetition about "How to account for questions unanswered ...." is pretty vacuous.  You here make the assumption that there are things that need to be 'accounted for'.  The whole thread, everything I have said so far is asking the question "what does it take, what hoops does anyone have to jump through, what standards of examination are needed to 'account for' ANYTHING?"  Not just your particular idee fixe, not any specific theory or explanation.   Thus to use the phrase 'account for' in a thread about trying to decribe or define what that very phrase means risks your disappearing in a whirl of regression.

I think you have already established that as far as you are concerned, when someone 'accounts for' or explains something, there are no standards or criteria by which that explanation can be judged to good or bad.  There is no method, no 'mark scheme' or whatever, by which an explanation can be judged as good or bad.  You have rejected the criteria I proposed, and have none to put in their place.  In that case, what do you mean when you ask for something to accounted for or explained?
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Patton
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« Reply #17 on: January 21, 2008, 07:49:48 AM »

I think you have already established that as far as you are concerned, when someone 'accounts for' or explains something, there are no standards or criteria by which that explanation can be judged to good or bad.  There is no method, no 'mark scheme' or whatever, by which an explanation can be judged as good or bad.  You have rejected the criteria I proposed, and have none to put in their place.  In that case, what do you mean when you ask for something to accounted for or explained?

It's no accident I posted examples related to illness and medicine......your words above are spot on.

Many things in life are not explained by any cookie-cutter models.

Your model is useful for some things but not all....I posted but one example.

If we can agree on this, then I don't know what else I can contribute.
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« Reply #18 on: January 21, 2008, 09:47:13 AM »

I think you have already established that as far as you are concerned, when someone 'accounts for' or explains something, there are no standards or criteria by which that explanation can be judged to good or bad.  There is no method, no 'mark scheme' or whatever, by which an explanation can be judged as good or bad.  You have rejected the criteria I proposed, and have none to put in their place.  In that case, what do you mean when you ask for something to accounted for or explained?

It's no accident I posted examples related to illness and medicine......your words above are spot on.

Many things in life are not explained by any cookie-cutter models.

Your model is useful for some things but not all....I posted but one example.

If we can agree on this, then I don't know what else I can contribute.

You posted no examples with respect to the list of criteria.  You posted an event and said that it could not be explained.  Since the list was about how things ought to be explained, you omitted to show how the list was deficient - because you gave no explanationto which it could be applied.   If you beleive that no explanation CAN be offered for the Dunlap et al cases, could you say why that is so?  Where does any (you gave no example) explanation fail? Against what standard of judgement?

Perhaps yet another repetition will get through....


when someone offers an explanation for something (ANYTHING), on what grounds should we judge it to be good or bad?

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If we can agree on this, then I don't know what else I can contribute.

You have so far contributed nothing to the question.  There is nothing we can agree on.  You have merely asserted (very little, and nothing relevant to the question) without argument.
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« Reply #19 on: January 21, 2008, 01:59:06 PM »

If you beleive that no explanation CAN be offered for the Dunlap et al cases, could you say why that is so?

Where does any (you gave no example) explanation fail?

Against what standard of judgement?

I forget some people have no clue about medical practice.

Declaring someone "brain dead" so that they may be filleted open and have their still beating heart removed is a process consisting of the most stringent requirements medical science has to offer....EVERYTHING known about the liklihood of irreversability is put to the test....two or three times over several days....several physicians must sign off...one of which is a nuerosurgeon/nuerologist certified in brain death declaration which also has jurisdictional legal requirements....needless to say, it is something not done "willy-nilly"....the very best of science, logic, reasoning and materialism is put through the ringer.....and guess what?

It has been shown to be completely wrong in some cases......how many more may have had the same recovery?

We do not know.

Perhaps yet another repetition will get through....

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when someone offers an explanation for something (ANYTHING), on what grounds should we judge it to be good or bad?

I would say it is bad if you were going to cut someones heart out of their chest....and they are not dead yet.

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You have so far contributed nothing to the question.  There is nothing we can agree on.  You have merely asserted (very little, and nothing relevant to the question) without argument.

If I contribute nothing....why do you bother?

Maybe you can explain why your little model on "accounting for things" fails miserably on the above cases.....and really....if you can't extrapolate the info from the cases to your models little definitions....then I don't know why I bother.
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« Reply #20 on: January 22, 2008, 12:27:06 AM »

Maybe you can explain why your little model on "accounting for things" fails miserably on the above cases.....and really....if you can't extrapolate the info from the cases to your models little definitions....then I don't know why I bother.

My 'model' does not fail.  Although you appear incapable of seeing it, it is not a judgement of the Dunlap case, it is a method of judging the judgements made there.   You are plainly unable to perform the cognitive action of second order thinking.  This isn't the thread for you...  you are right.  Don't bother.


Edit:   No, belay that.  Despite a ridiculous raising of the temperature here, I think it better to continue to try to explain just what it is I'm asking.  We both may learn something.   
I never intended this to be anything more than a discussion of our thinking processes, but since you can't do that without some concrete example, I'll go back to talking about your obsession.   Post on 'how can we explain Zack Dunlap'  follows.

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« Reply #21 on: January 22, 2008, 01:29:25 AM »

OK, I knew I had a feeling of deja vue.  This is the last post I made on your Zack Dunlap thread.  You did not answer it.  Maybe you could now, in the light of examining the 'explanation' that I have put forward.    It would be nice to have some ompeting explanation of exactly what happened, so the comparative method of evaluating explanations could be checked out.  However, I am aware that you have no explanationor theory to offer in this case, so we'll have to make do.

Here's the post....


What I suggest is that before one can claim a miracle occurs, you'd have to examine all the material explanations: all the laws of nature that are laws for a reason: because they are so damn predictable.

What "material explanations" and "laws of nature" apply to spontaneous recoveries from those declared to be in Persistent Vegitative States or Comas by the highest trained "scientists" in human neurobiology?

There doesn't seem to be a need for 'laws' in such a case.  Those who made the declaration were wrong - either they made a mistake, or the AAN Guidelines are insufficiently exact.  I'd go for the latter, if only for the reason that most definitions relying on measurement  of some sort (and that means virtually any definition using human perception or measurement of a biological characteristic!) have an area of vagueness. I mean 'vagueness' in the philosophical way - where you cannot make a distinction between two terms except by some purely arbitrary 'plumping' for a number or measureable means.  And that arbitrariness means that in some cases, at some time, you will be wrong.  The simple example is the Sorites paradox.  You have a heap of sand: take away one grain, is it still a heap? yes.  Take another, is it still a heap? yes, etc, etc.   Where does it stop being a heap?Huh?   When does Zack Dunlap stop being 'alive'? Somewhere deep down in his brain was a circuit that could react and fire up his whole being.  And nobody could find it, because the tests just weren't precise enough, detailed enough, appropriate enough.  Doesn't surprise me, I know we don't understand the brain that well.... yet.

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That's OK, I struggle to see how those depending on science for material views with regards to something they claim is in the perview of materialism (the brain) are content that they have absolutely nothing to offer the family of someone in PVS or Coma.....what hope do you have as someone driven by science, logic and reasoning when those trained in the science of nuerobiology say "There is no brain activity.....you can sign the organ donation authorization right here...?"

The motives of those who design and make the tests and make the declarations are of course only speculation and not really part of the discussion (are they?).  All I can say is that if I were Zack's doctor before his marvellous recovery, I would have felt powerless facing the parents.  And I am sure any normal human would have empathised and been immensely saddened.  But that doesn't alter he fact that following all established procedures, to the current best of our technology, Zack was dead.  The only thing I could offer them would be a hope that somewhere something was wrong, but the probabilities were very, very low.  And after the marvel of his recovery, I would have been as delighted and amazed as them.   

...

You also say "I think it does matter....you place science above all else and it comes up with zilch in these matters."

But, say, three centuries ago, people were dying by the thousand of hundreds of causes from which an escape was seen as 'miraculous'.  Nowadays a quick shot, or some surgery, performs these miracles as workaday activities - at which you assist.   Science does not come with zilch in these matters, it comes up with cures and technologies and life-enhancing products.  The science was shown to be deficient in the matter of diagnosing the state of Zack Dunlaps brain - and there's the apparent difference of attitude twixt thee and me.  I say that in three centuries (given continued progress as we have experienced) Zack's case would NOT be miraculous, because the diagnosis would not have been 'dead', it would be 'there is a problem at location X, that we can attempt to corrrect by procedure Y'.  But really I think you would say the same, and not 'if you pray, you may get a miracle'.


So... my explanation is that "Somewhere deep down in his brain was a circuit that could react and fire up his whole being.  And nobody could find it, because the tests just weren't precise enough, detailed enough, appropriate enough".

Accuracy - well, it accounts for the observable fact that ZD 'woke'.  That he had appeared brain dead i.e that the AAN tests were not sufficient.
Consistency - it is internally consistent, but...
Coherent - ... it does not fit with our present view (that we can currently scan the whole brain and detect potential for recovery - i.e. the theory behind the AAN procedures).
Simplicity - the essence of the explanation is very simple.  It does not rely on many new things, since it basically says that our current tests for brain death are lacking precision and (possibly) there is a condition that we have not previously identified - a sort of "unextinguished potential" (it is a new state, so finding words for it is a bit awkward)
Fecundity - there is a very specific research goal here:  improve the definitions and tests and look for some previously unknown state.  IF such a state can be identified then there is a whole new area of neural potential to be investigated.
Scope - if found, the new state will enhance our understanding of PVS, coma and brain death.

So, on the criteria I suggested, the explanation looks quite plausible... a goer, something we can work from.  You obviously disagree - where does my evaluation of the explanation fail?   Can you offer a better explanation?
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« Reply #22 on: January 22, 2008, 09:42:16 AM »

With regards to the post I did not answer....I apologize, but when dealing with issues of medical practice with those who have no experience...it sometimes becomes tiresome...especially after a full day....I'll see if I can do better in the future.

Those who made the declaration were wrong - either they made a mistake, or the AAN Guidelines are insufficiently exact.  I'd go for the latter, if only for the reason that most definitions relying on measurement  of some sort (and that means virtually any definition using human perception or measurement of a biological characteristic!) have an area of vagueness......When does Zack Dunlap stop being 'alive'? Somewhere deep down in his brain was a circuit that could react and fire up his whole being.  And nobody could find it, because the tests just weren't precise enough, detailed enough, appropriate enough.  Doesn't surprise me, I know we don't understand the brain that well.... yet.

So, are we killing people who would....if given time....recover?

If the belief existed of those in the medical community responsible for these decisions that what you say is true, then I believe guidelines for ethical medical practice would dictate that at no time, should we ever harvest ones organs or terminate food and water....what you are attempting to do is re-define what brain death is, and how it is to be determined.....the practice already exists that if the belief is recovery will take place, then by no means can ones organs be harvested or termination of food and water.

I am on a short lunch, I will address the application of your model when I return.
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« Reply #23 on: January 22, 2008, 10:52:27 AM »

With regards to the post I did not answer....I apologize, but when dealing with issues of medical practice with those who have no experience...it sometimes becomes tiresome...especially after a full day....I'll see if I can do better in the future.

To take a line from you.... heaven forfend that you should find anyhting tiresome.    I actually read the AAN procedures that you gave a URL for.  I found it interesting in the way the situation was checked, rechecked and cross-checked (or so it appeared, but I of course have no experienece of dealing with medical issues). 

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So, are we killing people who would....if given time....recover?

If you, as a man experienced in medical practice want to generalise from the cases you have presented, yes you are.   If you don't want to so generalise, then the issue is in doubt.

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If the belief existed of those in the medical community responsible for these decisions that what you say is true, then I believe guidelines for ethical medical practice would dictate that at no time, should we ever harvest ones organs or terminate food and water....what you are attempting to do is re-define what brain death is, and how it is to be determined.....the practice already exists that if the belief is recovery will take place, then by no means can ones organs be harvested or termination of food and water.

So, you seem to be saying that since people do not believe that the AAN guidelines are deficient, then they wouldn't ever apply the guidelines.  But since they do, then the guidelines must be correct.  However, it is YOU who pointed out the Dunlap case i.e. that the guidelines did not operate correctly in this case.

I am saying that (unless you can come up with some explanation as to why the guidelines did not operate correctly in this case which does not necessitate the whole area of brain death being subject to re-examination) then (a) YOU the medical profession should work towrds redefining brain death and how it is determined and (b) you Patton should accept that the incomplete current guidelines will entail the risk that someone may be declared dead and harvested (I hate that grisly term) while still alive.   


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I am on a short lunch, I will address the application of your model when I return.

When you find it deficient I am sure that you will show HOW the application of the criteria is wrog and will supply the new criteria you believe should be used.    And never forget that you have furnished no explanation of your own as to what occured in the Dunlap case - so you cannot appeal to any 'better' explanation.
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« Reply #24 on: January 22, 2008, 12:39:51 PM »

So... my explanation is that "Somewhere deep down in his brain was a circuit that could react and fire up his whole being.  And nobody could find it, because the tests just weren't precise enough, detailed enough, appropriate enough".

First...is the model to be used in assessing fact or fiction?

Unless you can demonstrate that the nuero-biological community believes your thesis...then this is purely a fictional assessement.

Accuracy - predicting all or most of the data to be explained and explaining away the rest - i.e. showing where there may be errors of data collection or interpretation.

Accuracy - well, it accounts for the observable fact that ZD 'woke'.  That he had appeared brain dead i.e that the AAN tests were not sufficient.

It would only be accurate if your thesis is correct....what support do you have that your thesis is correct?

Without authoritative corroboration, "accuracy" is impossible to determine, therefore making this element false.

What data was explained?

What data was explained away?

Based on what is known...given the same set of data, what other outcome could be predicted or interpreted?

Consistency - that there are no contradictions within the theory or model.

Consistency - it is internally consistent, but...

Internally consistent with what?

Does the fact that someone declared brain dead using the theories and models used to determine brain death suddenly and unexpectedly awoke reveal a contradiction with the theory or model?

Coherence - with surrounding beliefs and theories which are not to be superseded by the new, or at least consistency with them.

Coherent - ... it does not fit with our present view (that we can currently scan the whole brain and detect potential for recovery - i.e. the theory behind the AAN procedures).

So, you say "it does not fit".....so what does that do for us?

And we CAN scan the whole brain....and do....CAT, chemically, magnetically (MRI), with radio-nucleotides, electrically, doppler, blood flow, PET, etc......"potential for recovery" can not be determined from ALL existing tests....perhaps you can tell us what other scan can be done, without invoking Star Trek or other science fiction.

Simplicity - being expressible as economically as possible, with the fewest commitments to distinct kinds of fact and process.

Simplicity - the essence of the explanation is very simple.  It does not rely on many new things, since it basically says that our current tests for brain death are lacking precision and (possibly) there is a condition that we have not previously identified - a sort of "unextinguished potential" (it is a new state, so finding words for it is a bit awkward)

Again....this element of the model fails to explain anything useful....other than we do not know what we do not know.

Fecundity - making new predictions and suggesting new lines of enquiry.

Fecundity - there is a very specific research goal here:  improve the definitions and tests and look for some previously unknown state.  IF such a state can be identified then there is a whole new area of neural potential to be investigated.

You make it sound like the entire medical community is just sitting on it's hands.....these unanswered questions are as old as the medical profession itself.

Scope - unifying a diverse range of data.

Scope - if found, the new state will enhance our understanding of PVS, coma and brain death.

What if never found?

And never forget that you have furnished no explanation of your own as to what occured in the Dunlap case - so you cannot appeal to any 'better' explanation.

You would not like a theists interpretation that is as plausible as anything you come up with.




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« Reply #25 on: January 22, 2008, 01:19:26 PM »

WOW!!!!   You still don't get it, big time!!

I am NOT discussing your obsession with the Dunlap case as my prime concern.  I AM TRYING TO WORK OUT HOW WE SHOULD EVALUATE EXPLANATIONS.    You are rather confused as to what is going on here: you speak demeaningly about my 'little model'  (its not 'a model' but we'll let that pass).  You deny it can be useful because it is like scientific method.  And yet you happily use the criteria to attack the sample explanation!!!   I'll assume from this that you agree that the criteria ARE adequate to evaluate explanations.

So... my explanation is that "Somewhere deep down in his brain was a circuit that could react and fire up his whole being.  And nobody could find it, because the tests just weren't precise enough, detailed enough, appropriate enough".

First...is the model to be used in assessing fact or fiction?

Unless you can demonstrate that the nuero-biological community believes your thesis...then this is purely a fictional assessement.

The criteria (not model) are to be used in assessing an offered explanation.  Whether the n-b community has offered this or not is immaterial.  Someone has - is it a good explanation... well, lets apply the criteria to find out.

Quote
Accuracy - predicting all or most of the data to be explained and explaining away the rest - i.e. showing where there may be errors of data collection or interpretation.

Accuracy - well, it accounts for the observable fact that ZD 'woke'.  That he had appeared brain dead i.e that the AAN tests were not sufficient.

It would only be accurate if your thesis is correct....what support do you have that your thesis is correct?

Without authoritative corroboration, "accuracy" is impossible to determine, therefore making this element false.

What data was explained?

What data was explained away?

Based on what is known...given the same set of data, what other outcome could be predicted or interpreted?

You misunderstand the criterion - does the explanation address all the data?  Show me what data it doesn't address - it takes all the data (the description of what happened), therefore no data needs to be explained away.   Base on that data another explabnation could I am sure be proposed.  You just haven't, despite numerous invitations.

Quote
Consistency - that there are no contradictions within the theory or model.

Consistency - it is internally consistent, but...

Internally consistent with what?

Does the fact that someone declared brain dead using the theories and models used to determine brain death suddenly and unexpectedly awoke reveal a contradiction with the theory or model?

"Internally consistent with what?" - huh?  Do you understand what "internally consistent" means?

What are you talking about?  The explanation ("Somewhere deep down in his brain was a circuit that could react and fire up his whole being.  And nobody could find it, because the tests just weren't precise enough, detailed enough, appropriate enough") is what is being assessed.  No other 'theory or model'.

Quote
Coherence - with surrounding beliefs and theories which are not to be superseded by the new, or at least consistency with them.

Coherent - ... it does not fit with our present view (that we can currently scan the whole brain and detect potential for recovery - i.e. the theory behind the AAN procedures).

So, you say "it does not fit".....so what does that do for us?

And we CAN scan the whole brain....and do....CAT, chemically, magnetically (MRI), with radio-nucleotides, electrically, doppler, blood flow, PET, etc......"potential for recovery" can not be determined from ALL existing tests....perhaps you can tell us what other scan can be done, without invoking Star Trek or other science fiction.

Errrm, I am simply explaining that the current tests are insufficient and that a research program is needed to try to extend them.  This should take on board that ZD appeared dead, therefore there is possibly a brain condition that needs to be searched out.   Alternatively the sensitivity of the tests could be improved.   You appear by your comments to believe that we know absolutely everything about the brain and can unerringly check every such aspect.  I know for certain this isn't the case.

Quote
Simplicity - being expressible as economically as possible, with the fewest commitments to distinct kinds of fact and process.

Simplicity - the essence of the explanation is very simple.  It does not rely on many new things, since it basically says that our current tests for brain death are lacking precision and (possibly) there is a condition that we have not previously identified - a sort of "unextinguished potential" (it is a new state, so finding words for it is a bit awkward)

Again....this element of the model fails to explain anything useful....other than we do not know what we do not know.

I think it takes a very strange type of mind to think that discovering that we do not know something is valueless.

Quote
Fecundity - making new predictions and suggesting new lines of enquiry.

Fecundity - there is a very specific research goal here:  improve the definitions and tests and look for some previously unknown state.  IF such a state can be identified then there is a whole new area of neural potential to be investigated.

You make it sound like the entire medical community is just sitting on it's hands.....these unanswered questions are as old as the medical profession itself.

This last sentence rather contradicts your own comment above "Unless you can demonstrate that the nuero-biological community believes your thesis...then this is purely a fictional assessement".  There is an internal inconsistency here.  Smiley   What you think I am 'making it sound like' is your problem, not mine.

Quote
Scope - unifying a diverse range of data.

Scope - if found, the new state will enhance our understanding of PVS, coma and brain death.

What if never found?

If we can be assured that all aspects of the brain are known, and the tests can be sharpenned to be sure that we will not misdiagnose a ZD case, then it won't matter that research for an unknown brain state is fruitless.  If none of these occurs, then the probelm of what happened to Zack Dunlap will remain.


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And never forget that you have furnished no explanation of your own as to what occured in the Dunlap case - so you cannot appeal to any 'better' explanation.

You would not like a theists interpretation that is as plausible as anything you come up with.

I would evaluate in exactly the same way as I have evaluated my own 'explanation' above.   I suspect however that you cannot give a plausible 'theists interpretation'.  If you do post one, we can assess it according to the criteria I and you have just used.  You seem (more or less, apart from those you don't understand) to be happy with them as a way of evaluating an explanation.  That was what I was trying to achieve - a way, a mark scheme, a formal set of headings for assessing explanations.

So... please -  explain what happened to Zack Dunlap.   You may even give your stood-back evaluation using the criteria - and any other you think we need.


BTW you can take your time (I'm sure you'll need it).  I will be away from tomorrow evening, on a job in India (yea, its exciting!) for the next 10-15 days. 
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« Reply #26 on: January 22, 2008, 03:54:47 PM »

WOW!!!!   You still don't get it, big time!!

Callum,

I live in a very concrete world...I make life and death decisions, and decisions that can impact peoples professional lives every day...this is the way I operate....maybe I'm over thinking this or assigning more to it than it really is....especially if there is any level of abstractness to it.....I tend to work in "worst case" scenarios and work backward......this way of thinking keeps people from getting killed.

When I get home, I will re-read the original post....I'm not an idiot, so if I'm not "getting it" then maybe my interpretation was wrong from square one.

Using a nautical analogy.....if you leave port 2-degrees off course...when you've gone a mile...you are only a few feet from where you should be....when you've gone a thousand miles....you are a hundred miles from where you should be.....

We've gone a thousand miles already.....maybe I left port 2-degrees off course.-
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« Reply #27 on: January 24, 2008, 08:02:43 PM »

I won't remove.  What I will do is to qualify.  'Simplicity' needs careful usage.  The basic theist tenet is 'god did it'.  To explain the weather, for example. needs one hell of a lot MORE commitments to processes than the Great Unknown.   All the criteria need to be taken together as a whole.  Which is why I aked if anyone could add any - a missing criterion would collapse the whole busness, a redundant one as barney requests could be accomodated.

'Fecundity' will of course diminish if the view of scientific realism is correct. As we approximate closer and closer to the truth (i.e. when our staements about how the world works become more and more in line with actuality) then the scope for new enquiry will decrease.  I would guess that we are currently NOT in such a position.  (Note to idiot-theists - not YOU, of course - within my discipline it is acceptable NOT to claim absolute and complete knowledge.  If you feel this is worth arguing, first explain why you feel you DO have complete and absolute knowledge)

I wonder that the scope for enquiry would decrease as the whole of knowledge increases. Consider that in the time of Plato, the scope of human knowledge was so narrow that a person could, in rough outline, grasp the entire thought system. However, as science developed, specialization emerged, and continues to branch to this day: half a century ago, quantum physics was a budding science. Now, it has specializations of its own! One cannot predict what new sciences will emerge this century, or the next, and one can certainly not hope to understand the entirety of human knowledge.

As far as 'good' explanations for human knowledge, or myth, there are contradictions even within apparent truth. We cannot predict most things that occur. Patterns change, and are naturally complex. As for the final two, they are only valid if certain assumptions are made - even in modern physics. A theory is an incomplete system of thought (a religious explanation is worse still, as its causal logic is literally backwards), and even laws are often proven wrong, or partially wrong. What we do know we owe to the patterns that do maintain the image of order around us, and on some lucky occasions, we make the right guess.
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