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Peisithanatos
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« on: May 11, 2008, 12:59:42 AM » |
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On the one hand, Israel's concerns about the trickyness of the "land for peace" formula are justified. You give land now and must rely on the "word of honour" ever since. On the other hand, these concerns are explioted by the Israeli right-wing both in Israel and Washington. The argument that the Arabs will violate any treaty after the land is given is used to hammer any peace initiative. The international peacekeeping forces comprised of ever=reluctant Europeans have a history of failures in Bosnia and Lebanon. UN cannot be a warranty-provider for Israel.
But the US certainly can. Washington has never, not since the 1940s, had a shortage of enthusiasm regarding the M-East. And never a lack of pro-Israeli passions. In my opinion, it is because of Israel that Americans are now in Iraq. It is also because of Israel that Iran is in America's crosshair.
That pro-Judean zeal of Americans will have a better application in a bilateral defense treaty with Israel. The treaty should be conditioned upon the withdrawals into the 1967 line; within the internationally recognized borders, Israel will have security guarantees from the strongest nation of the world. That will remove most of the anxiety about never receiving peace aftergiving away land, and also remove the perennial excuses for refusing the land-for-peace agreements.
Some Americans won't greet such commitment. But the US is already heavily committedto Israel , why not formalize and rationalize this commitment? It might be the best answer to a number of questions in the M-East complexity.
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a big pile of bs covered with a thick layer of sugar
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Patton
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« Reply #1 on: May 11, 2008, 05:44:53 AM » |
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The commitment to Israel is like the commitment to Kuwait.....the US is against invasion and occupation (by anyone else)..........
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kactus
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« Reply #2 on: May 11, 2008, 06:05:58 AM » |
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The commitment to Israel is like the commitment to Kuwait.....the US is against invasion and occupation (by anyone else)..........
One big difference is that Kuwait hardly had a military structure during the invasion of Saddam and even now. Israel on the other hand is a nuclear power receives multi billion dollar defense contract from the US annually and is quite capable of defending herself without the US intervention.
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Patton
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« Reply #3 on: May 11, 2008, 06:12:38 AM » |
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Well, why should Kuwait have a "military structure?"
She lives among friends.
Same cannot be said of Israel.
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kactus
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« Reply #4 on: May 11, 2008, 07:33:21 AM » |
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For the very same reason that Kuwait came under the attack from Saddam and was unable to defend herself against the invasion. Kuwait wasn't exactly "amongst friends" when that attack came along.
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« Last Edit: May 11, 2008, 07:39:21 AM by kactus »
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Patton
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« Reply #5 on: May 11, 2008, 08:08:12 AM » |
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Besides Saddam (nutcase), what other Arab has attacked a fellow Arab?
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kactus
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« Reply #6 on: May 11, 2008, 09:05:38 AM » |
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Well you started this off by making the assertion that the US will give the same commitment to Israel as it gives to Kuwait. Then you went on that the US is against the inavsion and occupation by someone else. I see a flaw in this argument in that Israel has not been under occupation from another country whereas Kuwait has been invaded by Iraq. My whole argument is that you can not possibly draw a parallel between Kuwait or any other arab country for that matter with Israel because:
a) Israel is militarily capable to defend herself against any attack b) She has the full backing and support of the US (worlds' only super power) should there ever be a threat c) The military aid given to Israel makes her invincible and stronger than the whole arab league altogether d) In terms of the US foreign policy one can not make the same distinction between Israel and arab countries. In other words Israel is in a different league from the rest of the arab states e) One would have expected that after the invasion of Kuwait US would also invest in the military infrastructure of Kuwait as they are already doing with Israel. To answer the question I wouldn't make the distinction by which other arab country has attacked another fellow arab but rather divisions between diffrerent religious factions that carry out the attacks on eachother. Look at sunnis and shi'ites divide in Iraq today under the US occupation and their constant daily barrage of attack on eachother.
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« Last Edit: May 11, 2008, 09:35:19 AM by kactus »
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mdma
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« Reply #7 on: May 11, 2008, 09:42:22 AM » |
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a) Israel is militarily capable to defend herself against any attack b) She has the full backing and support of the US (worlds' only super power) should there ever be a threat c) The military aid given to Israel makes her invincible and stronger than the whole arab league altogether d) In terms of the US foreign policy one can not make the same distinction between Israel and arab countries. In other words Israel is in a different league from the rest of the arab states e) One would have expected that after the invasion of Kuwait US would also invest in the military infrastructure of Kuwait as they are already doing with Israel.
a) on which grounds you assumed that? b)there are two other superpowers that feed Arabs and other Muslims with snacks c)Israel has no oil to sell thus it's income supposed to be lower than Arab countries but Israeli technology and hi-tech gives main push when US gets the priority in tech lists. Alike Israel does in US ones. d)i don't know what you mean e)One would and other wouldn't. Maybe you missed the part Patton tried to tell you about Kuwait being an Arab country that can live among Arabs while Israel is not. Moreover Kuwait has oil which it can sell and this is the main reason why US doesn't give Arabs a thing for granted. Generally your idea about Middle Eastern conflict is distorted, you are very biased. When ppl like you bring even more chaos to already hot area.
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Patton
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« Reply #8 on: May 11, 2008, 10:00:52 AM » |
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Well you started this off by making the assertion that the US will give the same commitment to Israel as it gives to Kuwait. I believe that to be true. Then you went on that the US is against the inavsion and occupation by someone else. I believe that to be true also. I see a flaw in this argument in that Israel has not been under occupation from another country whereas Kuwait has been invaded by Iraq. Tell me this....when the lines were drawn in the sand....who was at greater risk for invasion.....Kuwait or Israel? If you take out the fact that Saddam was a nutcase, there is NO reason to believe Kuwait would EVER be invaded by a neighbor. I see a flaw in YOUR argument.
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kactus
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« Reply #9 on: May 11, 2008, 10:22:34 AM » |
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Tell me this....when the lines were drawn in the sand....who was at greater risk for invasion.....Kuwait or Israel?
Hypothetically speaking Israel but the reality is different for the reasons I have already given you and considering that Kuwait is the country that was in actual fact invaded. If you take out the fact that Saddam was a nutcase, there is NO reason to believe Kuwait would EVER be invaded by a neighbor.
I see a flaw in YOUR argument.
Hindsight is a beautiful thing Patton. No one would have expected Saddam that you call a 'nutcase' invade Kuwait given the fact that he was an ally of the West especially the US in the eighties. Politics of the region is complex and is not as black and white as it seems. One thing for certain rules of engagement between the US and Saddam had changed, which led to the invasion of Kuwait.
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« Last Edit: May 11, 2008, 12:17:55 PM by kactus »
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Fredledingue
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« Reply #10 on: May 11, 2008, 11:56:45 AM » |
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If you take out the fact that Saddam was a nutcase, there is NO reason to believe Kuwait would EVER be invaded by a neighbor 3 weeks before the invasion the Kuwaiti Emir recieved from Saddam's hand, amid euphorical exchanges of smile, hugs and bendings, the Golden Kalashnikof, the highest symbol of friendship and recognition. Saddam was definetly a nutcase and what he did was an almost total surprise. Isreal doesn't need the US army to prtect itself. As kactus said, Israel is militarilystronger than all its neighbors together. And since 1973 (35 years), none of them had the intention of retrying to invade Israel or even part of it. Iran maybe but they are not neighbors and not very serious about it after all. Israel's problems are Hamas and to a lesser extent Hizbullah but you don;t defeat these militias with the US army. The new paradigm is that "interresting targets" be it for the americans or their oponents, are oil-rich countries. Israel has no oil and doesn't interest anybody anymore. Kuwait, Iraq, Nigeria etc do.
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 Dr. Zoidberg is jewish (and an important AIPAC donator!) 
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realityman
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« Reply #11 on: May 12, 2008, 12:23:50 PM » |
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.... UN cannot be a warranty-provider for Israel. ...But the US certainly can.... ... The treaty should be conditioned upon the withdrawals into the 1967 line; within the internationally recognized borders, Israel will have security guarantees from the strongest nation of the world. .
And when Hamas, Islamic Jihad, and the others continue to fire Kassam rockets and attempt suicide bombing attacks... WHAT THEN?? Are the "peacekeepers" going to deal with them?? ... Do you think the Arabs/Muslims/Palestinians will accept the US (or anyone else) going after/targetting terrorists any more than they like Israel doing it?? You seem to want to pretend that Hamas (and the like) will simply go away or become powerless if various peace arrangements are agreed to BY OTHERS (not Hamas)... or by someone on the outside monitoring them... Hamas has no intention of going away quietly... Hamas will ultimately have to be delt with head-on... Something the current Palestinian leadership is unwilling to do.
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Peisithanatos
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« Reply #12 on: May 12, 2008, 04:00:16 PM » |
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And when Hamas, Islamic Jihad, and the others continue to fire Kassam rockets and attempt suicide bombing attacks... WHAT THEN?? the country from whose territory those rockets are fired will be held responsible. Hamas is presently firing rockets from a non-state territory. Are the "peacekeepers" going to deal with them?? I suggested a bilateral US-Israel pact, not "peacekeepers". Do you think the Arabs/Muslims/Palestinians will accept the US (or anyone else) going after/targetting terrorists any more than they like Israel doing it?? I'm talking about the situation AFTER Palestine is established as a sovereign country. It will be very different from the present one. Different rules, different attitudes. You seem to want to pretend that Hamas (and the like) will simply go away... I seem to want to suggest realistic constructive steps towards peace. If you feel my only mission is to diss Israel and defend Hamas, that's your take. I never heard from you anything realistic in this area, - for I don't see the demand for unconditional dismantling of Hamas, without any guarantees on geography and timing of Palestinian statehood, as realistic. I've suggested a number of things, - voluntary resettling programs, the Golan deal, the US-Israel defense pact. You suggested to keep on hammering Hamas. Well, this in itself will not give Israel peace. Not sure whether you seek solutions or excuses.
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a big pile of bs covered with a thick layer of sugar
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realityman
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« Reply #13 on: May 12, 2008, 06:04:03 PM » |
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And when Hamas, Islamic Jihad, and the others continue to fire Kassam rockets and attempt suicide bombing attacks... WHAT THEN?? the country from whose territory those rockets are fired will be held responsible. Hamas is presently firing rockets from a non-state territory. LOL... You must be kidding... So after years of terror, Israel is supposed to give them a state FIRST... THEN, when they continue to fire Kassams, and to attempt to terrorize Israel... they'll be " held responsible"?? They're being held responsible NOW... and Israel is restained from acting decisively against them... and no one else is doing much about them (Hamas)... So if they're given a state and continue to fire Kassams and terrorize Israel, then you'll support the US and Israel (in your Bilateral US-Israel defense Treaty) targetting the terrorist, destroying their terror infrastructure that the Palestinian ruling regime won't go after??  ... Nonsense... I'm talking about the situation AFTER Palestine is established as a sovereign country. It will be very different from the present one. Different rules, different attitudes. And you can support that "wishful thinking" with what?? Hamas is simply going to change their agenda?? The Palestinian people will simply forget the hatred they've been taught?? Hamas openly refuses to ever recognize Israel... And they're not going to go away quietly... They (The Palestinian leadership) had an opportunity to prove to the world... to show the world that they (as a people) could live in peace when Israel pulled out of Gaza... And what happened?? Again... you might want to read the Covenant of Hamas sometime..
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« Last Edit: May 12, 2008, 06:10:30 PM by realityman »
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Peisithanatos
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« Reply #14 on: May 12, 2008, 06:39:06 PM » |
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I was talking about a sequence of steps that would increase peace incentives and decrease conflict incentives. Would make nationbuilding more attractive than rocket firing. Would let the steam out of the refugee camps. Would undermine Hamas both internally and externally. Would give Israel formalized defense warranties from the US. Building peace is a long laborious thing, - a very SYNERGETIC thing where one component activates, enhances other components.
Apparently, you are not interested in all that. You are interested only in justifying the occupations. Don't bother, cos Israel public relations specialists are labouring tirelessly on that already, and very successfully.
So you stick to your Hamas Covenant and won't see how various initiatives can make this Covenant irrelevant. You think you have found a perfect excuse for Israel to keep the land, - Hamas must be brought down first, and only after Ithat srael might (or might not) speculate withdrawals. Well, it might seem a good excuse to you, but it won't work. And you're totally uninterested in the things that will.
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a big pile of bs covered with a thick layer of sugar
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