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CharlesMartel
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« Reply #15 on: June 06, 2008, 08:18:02 AM » |
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It's like saying I spilled milk on the floor and after spending a lot of effort cleaning I "gained" a clean floor again. Yeah, Iraq was a clean floor before any al-Qaeda milk was spilled huh? Your analogy doesn't work.
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Ahkenaten
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« Reply #16 on: June 06, 2008, 11:19:08 AM » |
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Yeah it does. Just piping back "it doesn't work" is what doesn't work.
There was no al qaeda problem in Iraq. Then there was a large one, and now there's less. This is not a "gain" no matter how you try and re-arrange it. Otherwise you can give me $100 and then another $100 and if I give you $50 back then you should be happy because you've made a "gain". If you bring al Qaeda influence in Iraq down to zero this would not be a "victory", it would be a return to status quo. That a defacto civil war in Iraq seems to be leveling out is a great sign but all civil wars/conflicts eventually peter out so...what? That mismanagement seems to finally be at the end of it's predictable run of bad consequences, or that the Generals are the ones to finally pull it out of the fire is hardly a "big gain".
That's all I'm saying. Ahk
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« Last Edit: June 06, 2008, 11:27:09 AM by Ahkenaten »
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Stephen Hero
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« Reply #17 on: June 06, 2008, 11:33:10 AM » |
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Ahk, no disrespect intended, but isn't that a particularly narrow view of the world? It disregards the total sum of the activities against al Qaeda, not only in Iraq, but in other countries as well, particularly the Afghan and Saudi moves against them.
Isn't the more accurate picture painted by looking at al Qaeda in toto? Recent pronouncement by nearly everyone (cites readily available if you truly need them) are concluding that AQ is severly crippled. Focusing on AQI with your milk analogy misses the big picture, in my view.
S.
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Never let us do wrong, because our opponents did so. Let us, rather, by doing right, show them what they ought to have done, and establish a rule the dictates of reason and conscience, rather than of the angry passions.
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Ahkenaten
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« Reply #18 on: June 06, 2008, 11:50:16 AM » |
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Well that's valid Stephen, imo, but only if you then remove the "in Iraq" from the title. Then we're left with "big gains against al Qaeda", and imo although al Qaeda is most certainly suffering and many of the weapons utilized against them are working, if you are now going to view it as in toto then I'd have to say (with about as much accuracy as anyone can) that I don't really think it is a "gain" since the hot days of '02-04 in Afghanistan and Pakistan when they were at their weakest and most vulnerable, and with the worst "acceptance" level they ever had world wide. Al Qaeda may very well be "crippled" right now. But I don't see how they could be worse off than the days before the invasion of Iraq and immediately after the invasion of Afghanistan. There's a difference in my mind between an accurate description of the current challenge and a careful "an-election-is-coming" composing of definitions for a purpose.: i.e.: "Bush was right" or "this hasn't been a fuckup all along. See? turns out we're 'gaining'".  Not trying to actually put those words in any posters mouth - I know no one said that - just warding against what I see as an inaccurate description for bombastic purpose. Ahk
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« Last Edit: June 06, 2008, 11:54:03 AM by Ahkenaten »
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Stephen Hero
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« Reply #19 on: June 06, 2008, 12:00:43 PM » |
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I think the manner in which they are significantly worse now is the disdain and lack of grassroots support from people in Iraq, Afghanistan, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan. That, combined with the loss of several influential leaders, has made their tacticial position untenable in former stornghold cities and neigborhoods, particularly in Iraq. In other words, it appears recently that "the street" has turned against them. I don't think that was the case in March of 2003. Those two reasons, in my opinion, is how they are significantly more worse off now that in early 2003.
Those two reasons came about by a change in direction by the US forces, supported by the burgeoning local Iraqi police and a renewed confidence of the people in their government.
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Never let us do wrong, because our opponents did so. Let us, rather, by doing right, show them what they ought to have done, and establish a rule the dictates of reason and conscience, rather than of the angry passions.
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CharlesMartel
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« Reply #20 on: June 06, 2008, 12:10:54 PM » |
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Yeah it does. Just piping back "it doesn't work" is what doesn't work. No, no it don't. Your analogy would mean Iraq was a spit shine floor before the milk spill. Nothing could be further from the truth. If blood, mud, guts, murder, rape, cocacola, sprite, and orange juice not to mention a healthy portion of sanctions, resolutions, war, invasion, oil for food, no fly zones.......if all of that were already on the floor.....and then you came by and spilled milk and cleaned it all up including killing the person responsible for the bigger mess...that would be a better analogy. The floor now cleaner than its ever been. Your analogy sucks. There was no al qaeda problem in Iraq. Then there was a large one, and now there's less. This is not a "gain" no matter how you try and re-arrange it. Al-Qaeda wasn't the only issue...was it? You act like Iraq was a peace seeking free republic a threat to no one and a nation following order instead of chaos. You blind to the events prior to our invasion? THe Congress didn't authorize the country to go to war cause al-Qaeda was there. Wake up, Son. That's all I'm saying. And you're wrong.
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CharlesMartel
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« Reply #21 on: June 06, 2008, 12:32:06 PM » |
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http://www.reuters.com/article/asiaCrisis/idUSISL2875KABUL, June 2 (Reuters) - Taliban insurgents are fleeing south towards the Afghan border with Pakistan in the face of a U.S. Marines offensive in volatile Helmand province, the NATO commander in Afghanistan said on Monday.
U.S. Marines have been pushing south from the former Taliban stronghold of Garmsir in Helmand for a month in an operation meant to cut off insurgent infiltration routes from Pakistan. Guess we shouldn't report this news if the LEft don't think it's positive, but...it is.
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Ahkenaten
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« Reply #22 on: June 06, 2008, 12:59:22 PM » |
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Yes it is a positive report Chucky. What's your point? If you categorize me in such simplistic terms as leftie or rightie you're going to run right off the road. I call 'em the way I see them and I'm not a republican or a democrat and I couldnt pull a hair over who will be the US's next president. No, no it don't. Your analogy would mean Iraq was a spit shine floor before the milk spill. Yes it does. Because we're not talking about whether it was clean or not. We're not talking about abstract blood and destruction. We're talking about al qaeda, al qaeda, al qaeda and whether or not there have been "gains" on them in Iraq. That you try to encapsulate Saddam or civil violence into the picture does not change that equation. The "milk" in the analogy is only al Qaeda because that's what you're claiming gains on. There was none, then there was some, now there is less. I can't draw you a picture, but trust me that's not a "gain", not overall. Al-Qaeda wasn't the only issue...was it? According to the title of the thread, yes. If the title of your thread was "gains made in Iraq" I probably wouldn't have posted anything in it. Are you revising now? Not trying to be an asshole, honestly asking. ... Those two reasons, in my opinion, is how they are significantly more worse off now that in early 2003. Fair enough. No one has a clear picture. I would still ask though: is it fair to say, even if it's simplifying, that: al qaeda started off with a feasible but overall small amount power, and a constant level of recruitment but one that was still relatively slow. Then after the invasion of Afghanistan they were in as a confused state as one could hope for and isolated in highest numbers of valid and viable members to one region. then they spread out, made gains of their own. and now are back to, for sake of argument, the previous level in Afhganistan/Pakistan or worse? Ahk
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« Last Edit: June 06, 2008, 01:11:17 PM by Ahkenaten »
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Fredledingue
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« Reply #23 on: June 06, 2008, 01:00:32 PM » |
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Ahk, If you see how many muslims put their faith in OBL right after 9/11 and how many does right now, IMO it can be called a victory.
Now was Bush right about invading Iraq. No, of course. Because al-Qaida became very strong, widespread and killed many people as a reaction in the meantime. Let alone many other things.
But the fact is that al-Qaida is losing the WoT.
And as CharleMartel said, al-Qaida was not the only issue. The issue was Saddam Hussein. It would have been funny to see the WoT unfolding with Saddam still at the power (or even funnier: toppled by someone else) in Iraq. But I don't think it was necessary to invade and occupy Iraq to fight al-Qaida. A little part of Iraq, controlled by Ansar al-Islam would have sufficed.
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« Last Edit: June 06, 2008, 01:04:04 PM by Fredledingue »
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 Dr. Zoidberg is jewish (and an important AIPAC donator!) 
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Ahkenaten
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« Reply #24 on: June 06, 2008, 01:07:00 PM » |
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If you see how many muslims put their faith in OBL right after 9/11 I didn't see that at all Fred, I saw the opposite. I saw a muslim world horrified and more than a little embarrassed and trying to separate themselves from him and the incident.Granted there was some isolated cheering in Palestine but we know they're pretty f*ed up already right? After Abu Garib it was a different story. Mismanagement. And as CharleMartel said, al-Qaida was not the only issue. The issue was Saddam Hussein. One can hardly blame me for responding based on the emphasis of the thread: al Qaeda in Iraq. Just saying Ahk
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« Last Edit: June 06, 2008, 01:09:23 PM by Ahkenaten »
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Fredledingue
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« Reply #25 on: June 06, 2008, 01:14:17 PM » |
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Ahk, The "Muslim World" is not a single person. Many, probably most of them were horrifies (Arafat more than anyone else) but a large minority, more or less vocaly admired OBL for striking the US empire.
The use of the name "Osama" given to new born muslim childs doubled afater the attack. That makes a bunch of poeple...
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 Dr. Zoidberg is jewish (and an important AIPAC donator!) 
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CharlesMartel
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« Reply #26 on: June 06, 2008, 01:18:58 PM » |
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According to the title of the thread, yes. If the title of your thread was "gains made in Iraq" I probably wouldn't have posted anything in it. Are you revising now? Not trying to be an asshole, honestly asking. Revising? The thread is about GLOBAL setbacks for al-Qaeda as testified to by the CIA Chief. You responded with this. Well lets just get this straight ok?
Al Qaeda was on the ropes in 2002 when they were shoved out of Afghanistan and forced to hide in Pakistan. In reality Iraq provided another hiding ground/battle ground in which to keep on fighting. Had Al Qaeda been wiped out or weakened properly before the Iraqi invasion there would be no need to jump for glee over "big gains" made against the same al Qaeda that originally was never in Iraq to begin with.
Al Qaeda grew and expanded in Iraq. That big gains have been made against this threat that was made possible only by the invasion (and more importantly the handling of the occupation) is a piss-poor example of something to be referred to as a "gain". Just my opinion. You are the one focusing and changing the debate to Iraq right here in black and white! Then you follow with... We're talking about al qaeda, al qaeda, al qaeda and whether or not there have been "gains" on them in Iraq. No...we're talking about the global gains on al-Qaeda that my first link attests to and my last link attests to as well while you're deflecting asking how I could change or revise the topic. Pay attention!
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CharlesMartel
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« Reply #27 on: June 06, 2008, 01:21:31 PM » |
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One can hardly blame me for responding based on the emphasis of the thread: al Qaeda in Iraq. Read the link to start the thread again. al-Qaeda gains GLOBALLY, not just in Iraq are mentioned. So, we can blame you, you're not making any sense at all. Sorry!
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CharlesMartel
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« Reply #28 on: June 06, 2008, 01:26:21 PM » |
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The original link to start the thread again, so as to prove Ahk totally in error. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/05/29/AR2008052904116.html?hpid=topnews"On balance, we are doing pretty well," he said, ticking down a list of accomplishments: "Near strategic defeat of al-Qaeda in Iraq. Near strategic defeat for al-Qaeda in Saudi Arabia. Significant setbacks for al-Qaeda globally -- and here I'm going to use the word 'ideologically' -- as a lot of the Islamic world pushes back on their form of Islam," he said. oops! In a strikingly upbeat assessment, the CIA chief cited major gains against al-Qaeda's allies in the Middle East and an increasingly successful campaign to destabilize the group's core leadership. Gee, why would I have linked to this artice if in fact the issue was...what was your quote "We're talking about al qaeda, al qaeda, al qaeda and whether or not there have been "gains" on them in Iraq."No Ahk....I'm clearly speaking to the global gains here, let's not lose focus
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Cass
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« Reply #29 on: June 06, 2008, 04:36:05 PM » |
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Charlie, were there fewer troop deaths in Iraq in May than in April. True and with removal there will be far less. But is it the result of a rout of al Qaeda or because of the actions of al Sadr, a true fly in the ointment of the total Iraqi picture. The other factor most who are supporters of the continuation for years or for decades of the occupation of Iraq, tend to forget when there is more use of airpower, the result is less casualties on the ground. Though the Predator has not been the miracle proclaimed there is no risk to troops at all with the use of that drone or the more deadly one the Reaper now deployed for use in Iraq and Afghanistan as the operators are primarily in Nevada, nearby Beale AFB nearby to me. I suspect as more are deployed there will be less use of ground troops, but your al Qaeda claims are IMHO way off base. Here have a bit of fun with this one Charlie. Sometimes you just get carried away with the usual talking points. I begin to wonder if you're one of the paid Pentagon posters we continue to hear about somewhat like the 75 generals that got found out, but lower in rank of course. You may want to bookmark the site. Lots of good military info available. Al Qaeda Issues "Request For Proposals" By Sharon Weinberger June 06, 2008 | 1:46:58 PMCategories: Terror Tech Frankly, it seems like Al Qaeda is becoming more like the Pentagon with each passing day. Women want equal rights to wage Jihad; the bureaucrats issue nasty memos and want to coordinate strategic communication; and now they're putting out the equivalent of a "request for proposals" on how to cause madness and mayhem. "Senior al-Qaida leaders through a password protected Internet message board periodically ask their loyal readers to send in their best ideas for attacking their enemies," reports National Defense, quoting recent remarks by Rita Katz, of the SITE Institute. Katz claims Al Qaeda gets "thousands" of responses. “Basically they are using all the jihadists throughout the world as their eyes,” said Katz. The request called for members to look for vulnerabilities in U.S. government facilities or for targets “anywhere in the world,” she said. This shows that terrorist groups are not lacking for ideas when it comes to cooking up deadly plots, but Katz warned that it’s important to distinguish “chatter” from real threats. What next? A DARPA for terrorists? A prize for the most innovative terrorist idea? http://blog.wired.com/defense/2008/06/al-qaeda-issues.html
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\\"The work goes on, the cause endures, the hope still lives and the dream shall never die.\\" Edward Kennedy, U.S. Senator
The old lion of the Senate, though a lion in winter, has lived to do more for this nation than John or Bobby though who knows what life would be like now had they lived.
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