so... No recession..
If next quarter has any growth that will mean Bush will leave office with no recession... cool..
http://www.reuters.com/articlePrint?articleId=USN3043337220080731GDP gets stimulus checks boost
Thu Jul 31, 2008 9:31am EDT
By Glenn Somerville
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Expansion accelerated modestly in the second quarter as government stimulus payments helped consumers add more buying punch to the economy, a Commerce Department report on Thursday showed.
Gross Domestic Product or GDP grew at a 1.9 percent annual rate, up from a revised 0.9 percent rate in the first quarter that previously was reported as 1 percent.
That followed a 0.2 percent contraction in GDP during the final quarter of 2007 and avoided pushing the economy into back-to-back declines that would have met a popular definition of recession.
Economists surveyed by Reuters had expected a 2.0 percent rise in GDP in the second quarter.
Separately, the Labor Department reported a sharp jump in the number of U.S. workers filing new claims for jobless benefits -- up 44,000 though officials said some special factors were involved.
Nonetheless, the prospect of rising unemployment was likely to fan new calls for additional stimulus to keep the jobless rolls from swelling in a slowly growing economy.
The Commerce Department said businesses reduced inventories at the sharpest rate since the end of 2001 in a sign they anticipate restrained growth ahead.
A key reading on core inflation -- personal consumption expenditures excluding food and energy -- rose at a 2.1 percent annual rate in the second quarter after gaining 2.3 percent in the first quarter. The moderation in core prices came despite a jump in overall prices to 4.2 percent from 3.6 percent in the first quarter.
U.S. stock futures fell and the dollar's value weakened against other key currencies after the data was issued. Prices for U.S. Treasury debt securities rose.
"At first glance, the 1.9 percent on GDP is OK," said Subodh Kumar, chief investment strategist for Subodh Kumar & Associates in Toronto. "I don't see the risk of the market collapsing because of recession fears."
Consumer spending that fuels two-thirds of U.S. economic activity grew at a 1.5 percent annual rate in the second quarter, up from 0.9 percent in the first quarter and 1 percent in the fourth quarter last year. The department noted that personal incomes had risen more sharply in the second quarter and attributed it primarily to the stimulus payments that the government was issuing to qualifying consumers.
The economy continues to be hobbled by a severe downturn in the housing sector but the drag from it was less severe in the second quarter. Spending on homebuilding contracted at a 15.6 percent annual rate in the second quarter, down from rates of 25.1 percent in the first quarter and 27 percent in last year's fourth quarter.
The department also issued benchmark revisions for the three-year period 2005-2007, which showed growth was weaker in each year than previously thought. GDP grew 2 percent in 2007 instead of 2.2 percent, 2.8 percent instead of 2.9 percent in 2006 and 2.9 percent rather than 3.1 percent in 2005.
The fourth quarter of 2007 was the weakest three months since the third quarter of 2001 amid the last official recession when it shrank at a 1.4 percent rate.
Businesses kept reducing inventories in the second quarter, possibly a sign that they are bracing for a prolonged period of lackluster growth. Stocks of unsold goods declined at a $62.2 billion rate -- the sharpest since an $86.7-billion rate in the fourth quarter of 2001 -- after decreases of $10.2 billion in the first quarter and $8.1 billion in the fourth quarter.