Topic: Do Republicans Really Want to Balance the Budget and Not Raise Taxes?
Republicans oppose raising taxes. Many Republicans have actually signed a pledge to not raise taxes ever, for any reason. http://www.atr.org/taxpayer-protection-pledge-a2882#
What does that really mean, when you look at real numbers? I submit that it means they shouldn't be taken seriously when they whine about the deficit.
Many people think that balancing the budget is an easy task just requiring political will, something that would not affect them personally. Many members of Congress often give the impression that all we have to do is eliminate earmarks and pork barrel spending and that would be enough.
Is that true?
Recently the ranking Republican in the House Budget Committee, Paul Ryan, was honest enough to actually put forward a budget that would be balanced without raising any taxes. According to the CBO, under the Ryan plan federal debt as a share of the gross domestic product (GDP) would rise from 61% this year to 100% in the year 2045 before falling to zero in 2080.
2080. That's a long time to wait. And what policy changes would have to be enacted? Ryan was honest and courageous enough to admit that the only way to eliminate the deficit without tax hikes was to cut Social Security and Medicare. Severely. In fact, by 2021 Medicare would have to be eliminated completely, replaced with vouchers that would steadily lose ground to annual costs (they would be indexed for only half the historical rate of price inflation in health care). Social Security would be privatized.
Workers would see their health benefits sharply reduced because Ryan would abolish the tax exclusion for health insurance.
Now, you may actually support some or all of these policy changes. But the reality is that the American public overwhelmingly likes and supports Social Security and Medicare. Any politician who dares even begin to speak seriously about cutting them is cut off at the knees. Bush tried very hard in 2005 to invest his re-election momentum into privatizing Social Security. He got nowhere. Clinton annihilated the GOP when they tried to cut Mediare in 1995, which in part was responsible for Speaker Gingrich's forced retirement.
Today the GOP is running from Ryan's budget as if it were the new Bubonic Plague. Yet they continue to call for a balance budget and no new taxes.
Which is why they should not be taken seriously.
--I cribbed/amended/etc. this post from the following column by conservative economist Bruce Bartlett: http://www.forbes.com/2010/02/11/cut-sp tlett.html
Last edited by jpn of Seattle (2010-02-15 22:07:32)